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03-02-21 Agenda PacketAGENDA Poway City Council Council Chamber I 13325 Civic Center Drive I Poway, CA I 92064 March 2, 2021 I 7 p.m. Thank you for participating in your local government and the City of Poway council meetings. Meetings I Regular City Council meetings are held on the first and third Tuesday of the month at 7:00 p.m. Meetings I Pursuant to the Governor's Executive Order N-29-20, a local legislative body is authorized to hold public meetings via teleconferencing and to make public meetings accessible telephonically or otherwise electronically to all members of the public seeking to observe and to address the local legislative body, during the period in which local public officials impose measures to promote social distancing. Although this Regular City Council meeting will be held at the Council Chambers located at 13325 Civic Center Drive, Poway, CA 92064, the Council Chamber will not be open to the public. Remote public participation is encouraged in one of the following ways: To Watch Live: www.poway.org/councilmeetings To Speak and Participate: Go to: www.poway.org/meeting and join using "Computer Audio" If your electronic device has no microphone or speakers: Call: (877) 853 -5247 Enter Meeting ID: 623 291 9830 Enter Participant ID provided on your computer PLEASE NOTE: If you wish to participate, please also read the Speakers section for detailed instructions as it has changed. Pub lic Meeting Access I Residents are strongly encouraged to participate and view remotely at the March 2, 2021 meeting livestream via www.poway.org/councilmeetings (to watch live), via www.poway.org/meeting (to speak and participate), or on Cox Communications Channel 24 and Spectrum Channel 19. Meetings are rebroadcast on Mondays, Thursdays and Fridays at 6 p.m. and Saturday and Sundays at 3 p.m. Council meeting videos are archived and available for viewing on the City's website at www.poway.org/councilmeetings. Submission of written comments concerning items on the agenda is encouraged. Steve Vaus Mayor Barry Leonard Deputy Mayor Dave Grosch Councilmember Caylin Frank Councilmember John Mullin Councilmember Speakers I If viewing online or calling in via telephone, it is highly recommended to log in to the waiting room at least 15 to 30 minutes prior to the commencement of the meeting. Persons wishing to address the Council on matters not on the agenda may do so under Public Comment. Those wishing to speak on items on the agenda may do so when the item is being considered. If you wish to speak and are joining the meeting online, please let the City Clerk know prior to the meeting or the announcement of the item by raising your hand digitally or by submitting a chat. If you are not using your computer's audio, please remember to enter your Participant ID on your computer screen when prompted on the phone. If you choose to call in without logging in on line and you wish to speak on an item, you may press *9 when the Mayor asks for speakers at the time that the item you wish to speak on is being considered. You may speak up to three (3) minutes. The Mayor may reduce this time if there are a large number of speakers. PLEASE NOTE: Comments submitted via email will be accepted until 3:00 p.m. of the meeting date and distributed to the City Council as well as be made available online after the meeting. Technical Support I For more information on how to connect, visit www.poway.org/meetinghelp. If you have trouble connecting or accessing the meeting, the Information Technology team is available to help at (858) 668-4451. Agenda Materials I This agenda contains a brief summary of each item the Council will consider. The Agenda and Agenda Packet is posted seven (7) days prior to regular City Council meetings and are available for viewing on the City's website at www.poway.org. Sign up at https://poway.org/list.aspx to receive email notifications when City Council agendas are published on line. Items listed on the agenda with a"#" symbol are in preparation. American Disabilities Act Title II I In compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990, persons with a disability may request an agenda in appropriate alternative formats as required by Title II. Any person with a disability who requires a modification or accommodation in order to participate in a meeting should direct such request to the City Clerk's office 858.668.4530 at least 24 hours prior to the meeting. The City Council also sits as the City of Poway Planning Commission, Poway Housing Authority, Public Financing Authority and Successor Agency to the Poway Redevelopment Agency CALL TO ORDER: ROLL CALL: PLEDGE OF ALLEGIANCE: MOMENT OF SILENCE: PRESENTATION : 2 of 4 Regular City Council Meeting March 2, 2021 PUBLIC COMMENT: In accordance with State law, an item not scheduled on the agenda may be brought forward by the general public for comment; however, the City Council will not be able to discuss or take action on any issue not included on the agenda. You may speak up to three (3) minutes. Speakers have one opportunity to address the Council under Public Comment. CONSENT CALENDAR: The Consent Calendar may be enacted in one motion by the Council with a Roll Call Vote without discussion unless a Councilmember, a member of the public, or City Manager requests that an item be removed for discussion. 1. Approval of Reading by Title Only and Waiver of Reading in Full of Ordinances on this Agenda 2. Approval of the February 2, 2021 Regular City Council Meeting Minutes 3. Resolution to Continue the Existence of a Local Emergency within the City of Poway Due to the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Global Pandemic ORDINANCES FOR INTRODUCTION: None ORDINANCES FOR ADOPTION: None PUBLIC HEARINGS: 4. Tentative Tract Map 21-001; A Request for Approval of the Second One-Year Time Extension for a Previously Approved Subdivision City Manager's Recommendation: It is recommended that the City Council take public input, close the public hearing and adopt the resolution. STAFF REPORTS: 5. General Fund Financial Results, COVID-19 Economic Impacts Update and Long-Range Forecast City Manager's Recommendation: It is recommended that the City Council note and file the report on General Fund financial results, economic impacts, and long-range forecast. WORKSHOPS: 6. SB 1383 Solid Waste Regulation Updates City Manager's Recommendation: It is recommended that the City Council receive and file this report. COUNCIL-INITIATED ITEMS: 7. Appointments to the Budget Review Committee and Parks and Recreation Advisory Committee Recommendation: It is recommended that the City Council concur to appoint three members to the BRC and five members to the PRAC for a two-year term expiring December 31, 2022. 3 of 4 Regular City Council Meeting March 2, 2021 COUN CIL COMMITTEE REPORTS and AN NOUNC EMENTS: Pursuant to AB1234 -(G.C. 53232(d)) CITY MANAGER ITEM S: CITY ATTORNEY ITE MS: (Including any public report of any action taken in closed session) CL OSED SESS ION: 8. Public Employee Performance Evaluation Government Code Section 54957(B)(1) Title: City Attorney 9. Public Employee Performance Evaluation Government Code Section 54957(B)(1) Title: City Manager AD!OURNMENT State of California County of San Diego ) ) ss. ) AFFIDAVIT OF POSTING I, Vaida Pavo/as, CMC, City Clerk of the City of Poway, hereby declare under penalty of perjury that this notice of a Regular Meeting as called by the City Council of the City of Poway was posted and provided on February 23, 2021 at 5:40 p.m. Said mpfl.t"ng to be held at 7:00 p.m., March 2, 2021, in the Poway City Council Chambers, 13325 Civic Center Drive, PowaA Ca ifornia. Said notice was posted on the Bulletin Board at the entrance to City Hall. 4 of 4 Regular City Council Meeting March 2, 2021 AGENDA RE PO RT City of Poway DATE: TO: FROM: March 2, 2021 Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council Vaida Pavolas, City Clerk \~ (858) 668-4535 or vpavolas@poway.org CITY COUNCIL SUBJECT: Approval of the February 2, 2021 Regular City Council Meeting Minutes Summary: The City Council Meeting Minutes submitted hereto for approval are: • February 2, 2021 Regular City Council Meeting Minutes The Poway City Council sits as the Poway Planning Commission, the Poway Housing Authority, the Public Financing Authority, and the Successor Agency to the Poway Redevelopment Agency. Recommended Action: It is recommended that the City Council approve the February 2, 2021 Regular City Council Meeting Minutes. Public Notification: None. Attachments: A. February 2, 2021 Regular City Council Meeting Minutes Reviewed/ Approved By: Wendaserman Assistant City Manager 1 of 5 Reviewed By: Alan Fenstermacher City Attorney Approved By: Ch~ City Manager March 2, 2021, Item #2 NOTE: These draft meeting minutes are not official until approved by the City Council at the next scheduled meeting. CITY OF POWAY CITY COUNCIL REGULAR MEETING MINUTES February 2, 2021 City Council Chambers 13325 Civic Center Drive, Poway, California (Per Government Code 54953) (Meeting Called to Order as City Council/City of Poway Planning Commission/Poway Housing Authority/Public Financing Authority and Successor Agency to the Poway Redevelopment Agency) CALL TO ORDER Mayor Vaus called the Regular Meeting to order at 7:00 p.m. ROLL CALL John Mullin, Caylin Frank, Dave Grosch, Barry Leonard, Steve Vaus STAFF MEMBERS PRESENT City Manager Chris Hazeltine; Assistant City Manager Wendy Kaserman; City Attorney Alan Fenstermacher; City Clerk Vaida Pavolas; Development Services Director Bob Manis; Finance Director Aaron Beanan; Human Resources and Risk Management Director Jodene Dunphy; Public Works Director Eric Heidemann; Fire Chief Jon Canavan; Captain Dave Schaller, Sheriff's Department (Note: Hereinafter the titles Mayor, Deputy Mayor, Councilmember, City Manager, Assistant City Manager, City Attorney, City Clerk and Director of Finance shall be used to indicate Mayor/Chair, Deputy MayorNice Chair, Councilmember/Director, City Manager/Executive Director, Assistant City Manager/ Assistant Executive Director, City Attorney/Counsel, City Clerk/Secretary and Director of Finance/Finance Officer.) PLEDGE OF ALLEGIANCE Deputy Mayor Leonard led the Pledge of Allegiance. MOMENT OF SILENCE Mayor Vaus led a moment of silence. PRESENTATIONS None. PUBLIC COMMENT Mike Leland, representing the Poway Chamber of Commerce, via teleconference, expressed gratitude for the City's support and requested additional grant funding for the Chamber. 2 of 5 ATTACHMENT A March 2, 2021, Item #2 City of Poway-Minutes -February 2, 2021 Kathleen Lippitt, via teleconference, spoke regarding children's mental health during COVID-19. Yuri Bohlen, via teleconference, inquired about an environmental review and funding for the Outpost project. CONSENT CALENDAR Motioned by Councilmember Mullin, seconded by Mayor Vaus to approve Consent Calendar Items 1 through 6. Motion carried by the following roll-call vote: Ayes: Noes: Mullin, Frank, Grosch, Leonard, Vaus None Abstained: None Absent: None Disqualified: None 1. Approval of Reading by Title Only and Waiver of Reading in Full of Ordinances on this Agenda 2. Approval of the December 15, 2020 Regular City Council Meeting Minutes 3. Adoption of Resolution No. 21-007 entitled "A Resolution to the City Council of the City of Poway, California, Finding and Declaring the Continued Existence of an Emergency within the City due to the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Global Pandemic" 4. Acceptance of the Swim Center Deck Coating Project, Bid No. 21-005, with Harbor Coating and Restoration as Complete 5. Acceptance of the Swim Center Valve and Strainer Replacement Project, Bid No. 21-006, with AToM Engineering Construction Inc. as Complete 6. City's Investment Report as of December 31, 2020 In response to Council inquiry, Director of Finance Aaron Beanan explained that in consultation with the City's investment manager, strategies were put in place to mitigate short- term effects of COVID-19 pandemic. ORDINANCES FOR INTRODUCTION None. ORDINANCES FOR ADOPTION None. PUBLIC HEARINGS None. STAFF REPORTS 7. Senior Services at the Mickey Cafagna Community Center 3 of 5 March 2, 2021, Item #2 City of Poway -Minutes -February 2, 2021 Assistant City Manager Wendy Kaserman presented the report and explained that the Poway Senior Center closed as a result of the ongoing global pandemic which opened an opportunity for the City and the Poway Valley Senior Citizens Corporation (PVSCC) Board to re-evaluate the operating model and the delivery of senior services in Poway. Ms. Kaserman explained that after the PVSCC Board approached the City about the potential for the City to provide senior services, staff agreed that, in partnership with PSVCC, the City will assume responsibility for providing senior services and programming once the new Mickey Cafagna Community Center opens. Ms. Kaserman further explained that staff anticipates that services will mostly be provided through contracts and that the City will not be adding new staff to support this programming. Additionally, she added that the PVSCC Board plans to maintain its non-profit status and continue to fundraise and provide ongoing funds to the City to offset costs associated with providing senior services. She concluded that the City and PVSCC are working on a memorandum of understanding to establish roles and responsibilities for each entity that will be brought forward for City Council approval at a future meeting. Cynthia Elizondo, President of the PVSCC Board, expressed the Board's support for the City to operate and provide senior services to the community. Ms. Elizondo announced the Board's plans to fundraise to financially support the City run senior programming. Pete Babich, via teleconference, inquired about meeting accommodations for the Poway Sheriff Senior Volunteer Patrol at the new community center. Yuri Bohlen, via teleconference, expressed financial concerns with the City providing senior services. Council expressed enthusiasm and support for the City to provide senior services and programming to the community and continue to partner with the Poway Senior Center to deliver those services once the new community center opens. This was an informational item. No action was taken. WORKSHOPS None. COUNCIL-INITIATED ITEMS 8. Amend Poway Road Specific Plan to Allow for Thrift Stores in the Mixed-Use and Town Center Zones Councilmember Frank presented the item for Council consideration to direct staff to amend the Poway Road Specific Plan to allow thrift stores in the Mixed-Use and Town Center zones, subject to approval of a Conditional Use Permit Application. Joe St. Lucas, via email correspondence, expressed support for the proposal and suggested the old Thrifty/Rite Aid location as an option for thrift stores. Pete Babich, via teleconference, expressed concerns with adjustments to the Poway Road Specific Plan at this time and spoke in opposition to expanding thrift stores to operate in other zones. 4 of 5 March 2, 2021, Item #2 City of Poway-Minutes -February 2, 2021 Yuri Bohlen, via teleconference, spoke in support of allowing thrift stores in the mixed-use and town center zones. Councilmember Frank clarified that her intent was to also include the Commercial Office zone in the proposal. Council discussion ensued regarding current permitted zones for thrift stores versus the existing zones for antique and consignment stores. Council noted concerns with allowing thrift stores in the town center and mixed-use zones. However, after further discussion, Council expressed support for expanding opportunities for thrift stores similar to antique and consignment stores with the approval of a conditional use permit. In response to Council's inquiry, Director of Development Services Bob Manis confirmed that thrift stores are currently allowed in Commercial General (CG) and Automotive/Commercial General (A/CG) with the approval of a conditional use permit. He further explained that antique and consignment stores do not require a conditional use permit and, in addition to the CG and A/CG zones, are permitted to operate in the Commercial Office (CO) zone. Council provided direction to staff to return to Council with an amendment to the Poway Road Specific Plan to allow thrift stores in the Commercial Office (CO) zone with the approval of a conditional use permit. COUNCIL COMMITTEE REPORTS and ANNOUNCEMENTS: Pursuant to AB1234 -(G.C. 53232(d)) The Mayor and Council made announcements and reported on various events taking place in the City. No action was taken. Mayor Vaus reported out from a recent meeting of SANDAG and announced that San Diego Mayor Todd Gloria was elected to serve as Vice Chair of the SAN DAG Board of Directors. CITY MANAGER ITEMS: None. CITY ATTORNEY ITEMS: (Including any public report of any action taken in closed session) None. ADJOURNMENT The meeting adjourned at 8:01 p.m. 5 of 5 Vaida Pavolas, CMC City Clerk City of Poway, California March 2, 2021, Item #2 March 2, 2021, Item #3DATE: TO: FROM: CONTACT: SUBJECT: Summary: AGENDA REPORT CityofPoway March 2, 2021 Honorable Mayor and Me~ of the City Council Jon M. Canavan, Fire Chief Vi£) Jon M. Canavan, Fire Chief (858) 668-4461 or jcanavan@poway.org CITY COUNCIL Resolution to Continue the Existence of a Local Emergency Within the City of Poway Due to the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Global Pandemic The Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) global pandemic continues to cause unprecedented impacts on all economic and social segments of the United States. Federal, state, and county directives, mandates and orders to prevent, control and manage the spread of COVID-19 have, and continue to, impact Poway residents, businesses and visitors. On March 18, 2020, the City Council approved a resolution proclaiming a local emergency. The adopted resolution requires the City Council to either continue the emergency action or declare the emergency ended at each regular meeting. Recommended Action: It is recommended that the City Council approve a resolution continuing the Proclamation of Local Emergency authorizing the City Manager to take necessary actions to protect the public and welfare of the City from the serious and imminent threat of COVID-19. This action requires a four-fifths (4/5) vote of the City Council. Discussion: The COVID-19 global pandemic continues to impact business, education, healthcare, military, and social segments of the United States. COVID-19 has resulted in a swift economic slowdown and high unemployment rates. Federal, state, and county directives, mandates, orders, and guidelines have been issued to prevent, control and manage the spread of COVI D-19. While efforts are focused on re-opening the economy and relaxing restrictions, impact on Poway residents, businesses and visitors continues. In response to the COVID-19 global pandemic, and its impact on Poway, the City Manager, serving as Director of Emergency Services for the City of Poway, proclaimed a local emergency on March 13, 2020. On March 18, 2020, the City Council approved Resolution No. 20-013 ratifying the City Manager's Proclamation of Local Emergency. The City Council approved to continue the emergency action in 2020 on April 7, April 21, May 5, May 19, June 2, June 16, July 7, July 21, August 4, September 1, September 15, October 6, October 20, November 17, December 1, and December 15. And in 2021, the City Council approved to continue the emergency action on January 19, February 2, and February 16. The adopted resolution requires the City Council to either continue the emergency 1 of 5 March 2, 2021, Item #3action or declare the emergency ended at each regular meeting. Environmental Review: This action is not subject to review under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). Fiscal Impact: As of February 16, 2021, City costs to respond to COVI D-19 are estimated at $787,355. This amount differs from the amounts in the COVID-19 Economic Update staff report presented to Council on September 15, 2020 primarily because the amounts listed here relate to FEMA eligible expenditures. The total fiscal impact is unknown at this time. Per the City Council adopted General Fund Reserve policy, the City maintains a General Fund Reserve of 45 percent of the budgeted annual General Fund operating expenditures, or $19,233,004 as of June 30, 2020, net of the $2,000,000 used from the Extreme Events/Public Safety reserve the City Council approved on April 16, 2020 to fund the Poway Emergency Assistance Recovery Loan (PEARL) program. The PEARL program is discussed in more detail below. Within that 45 percent, $12,142,455 is set aside for Extreme Events/Public Safety. Based upon the City's reserve policy, there are adequate reserves to cover the costs to respond to this health emergency. Further, staff believes some of the costs are recoverable under State and Federal Disaster programs. Amounts recovered under these programs will be used to replenish the General Fund reserve. Pursuant to the reserve policy, staff will return with a plan to replenish any General Fund reserves not replenished under a State or Federal Disaster program. Staff will recommend applicable budget adjustments prior to the completion of the current fiscal year. In addition to using reserves to respond to COVID-19, as mentioned above, on April 16, 2020, the City Council approved $2,000,000 to fund the PEARL program for small businesses. The PEARL program's goal is to offer financial assistance to small businesses located in Poway by complementing existing state and federal loan programs and to provide a financial bridge to businesses to survive the current emergency. The PEARL program provides loans of up to $50,000 to eligible business. As of February 16, 2021, staff has received 80 applications requesting $2,912,165 in loans. Based on staffs review, 35 loans totaling $1,385,326 have been approved. The reserve fund will be replenished from the repayment of PEARL loans over a three-year period following the end of the local COVID-19 emergency. This period falls within the General Fund Reserve Policy's direction to fully replenish reserves within five years of use. Public Notification: None. Attachments: A. Resolution B. Proclamation of Local Emergency Reviewed/Approved By: Wendy ~serman Assistant City Manager 2 of 5 Reviewed By: Alan Fenstermacher City Attorney Approved By: tt~ City Manager March 2, 2021, Item #3RESOLUTION NO. 21-A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF POWAY, CALIFORNIA, FINDING AND DECLARING THE CONTINUED EXISTENCE OF AN EMERGENCY WITHIN THE CITY DUE TO THE NOVEL CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) GLOBAL PANDEMIC WHEREAS, the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) global pandemic in the City of Poway, commencing on or about January 24, 2020 that creates a threat to public health and safety; WHEREAS, Government Code section 8630 and Poway Municipal Code (PMC) Section 2.12.060 empower the City Manager, acting as the Director of Emergency Services, to proclaim the existence of a local emergency when the City is affected by a public calamity, and the City Council is not in session; WHEREAS, on March 13, 2020, the City Manager, acting pursuant to Government Code section 8630 and PMC section 2.12.060, proclaimed the existence of a local emergency based on conditions of extreme peril to the health and safety of persons caused by the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) global pandemic; WHEREAS, on March 18, 2020, the City Council, acting pursuant to Government Code section 8630 and PMC section 2.12.065, ratified the existence of a local emergency within seven (7) days of a Proclamation of Local Emergency by the City Manager; WHEREAS, the City Council, acting pursuant to PMC section 2.12.065, approved extending the emergency declaration during regularly scheduled meetings in 2020 on April 7, April 21, May 5, May 19, June 2, June 16, July 7, July 21, August 4, September 1, September 15, October 6, October 20, November 17, December 1, December 15, and in 2021 on January 19, February 2 and February 16; WHEREAS, Public Contract Code Section 20168 provides that the City Council may pass by four-fifths (4/5) vote, a resolution declaring that the public interest and necessity demand the immediate expenditure of public money to safeguard life, health, or property; WHEREAS, upon adoption of such resolution, the City Manager may expend any sum required in the emergency and report the same to the City Council in accordance with Public Contract Code Section 22050; WHEREAS, if such expenditure is ordered, the City Council shall review the emergency action at each regular meeting, to determine if there is a need to continue the action or if the Proclamation of Local Emergency may be terminated; and WHEREAS, such the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) global pandemic constitute an emergency within the terms of Public Contract Code Sections 20168 and 22050 which requires that the City Manager be able to act quickly and without complying with the notice and bidding procedures of the Public Contract Code to safeguard life, health, or property. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the City Council of the City of Poway hereby finds and declares: 3 of 5 ATTACHMENT A March 2, 2021, Item #3Resolution No. 21-Page 2 SECTION 1: An emergency continues to exist within the City as the result of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) global pandemic; and (a) The continuing threat of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) global pandemic requires that the City be able to expend public money in order to safeguard life, health, or property; (b) The City Manager, as the City's Personnel Officer, is authorized to take actions necessary to alter employee leave policies and ensure a safe and healthy workforce; (c) The City Manager is authorized to safeguard life, health, or property without complying with notice or bidding procedures; and (d) Once such expenditure is made, the City Manager shall report the conditions to the City Council at each regular meeting, at which time the City Council shall either continue the emergency action or declare the emergency ended. SECTION 2: This Proclamation of Local Emergency and all subsequent resolutions in connection herewith shall require a four-fifths (4/5) vote of the City Council. PASSED, ADOPTED AND APPROVED at a Regular Meeting of the City Council of the City of Poway, California on the 2nd day of March, 2021 by the following vote, to wit: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: DISQUALIFIED: Steve Vaus, Mayor ATTEST: Vaida Pavolas, CMC, City Clerk 4 of 5 March 2, 2021, Item #3PROCLAMATION OF LOCAL EMERGENCY WHEREAS, section 2.12.060 of the Poway Municipal Code empowers the Director of Emergency Services to proclaim the existence or threatened existence of a local emergency when the City is affected or likely to be affected by a public calamity and the City Council is not in session; WHEREAS, the City Manager, as Director of Emergency Services of the City of Poway, does hereby find that conditions of extreme peril to the safety of persons and property have arisen within the City of Poway, caused by the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) commencing on January 24, 2020; WHEREAS, that the City Council of the City of Poway is not in session and cannot immediately be called into session; and WHEREAS, this Proclamation of Local Emergency will be ratified by the City Council within seven days of being issued. NOW, THEREFORE, IT IS HEREBY PROCLAIMED by the Director of Emergency Services for the City of Poway, that a local emergency now exists throughout the City and that said local emergency shall be deemed to continue to exist until its termination is proclaimed by the City Council; IT IS FURTHER PROCLAIMED AND ORDERED that during the existence of said local emergency the powers, functions, and duties of the emergency organization of this City shall be those prescribed by state law, ordinances, and resolutions of this City, and by the City of Poway Emergency Plan; and IT IS FURTHER PROCLAIMED AND ORDERED that a copy of this Proclamation of Local Emergency be forwarded to the State Director of the Governor's Office of Emergency Services with a request that; 1. The State Director find the Proclamation of Local Emergency acceptable in accordance with provisions of the Natural Disaster Assistance Act; and 2. The State Director forward this Proclamation, and request for a State Proclamation and Presidential Declaration of Emergency, to the Governor of California for consideration and action. PASSED AND ADOPTED by the Director of Emergency Services for the City of Poway this 13th day of March 2020. Director of Emergency Services 5 of 5 ATTACHMENT B March 2, 2021, Item #4DATE: TO: FROM: CONTACT: SUBJECT: Summary: AGENDA RE PO RT City of Poway March 2, 2021 Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council Robert Manis, Director of Development Services 11/1 Austin Silva, Senior Planner i\ · (858) 668-4658 or asilva@poway.org CITY COUNCIL Tentative Tract Map 21-001; a request for approval of the second one-year time extension for a previously approved subdivision The City Council's approval ofTentative Tract Map (TTM) 16-005, known as the Larchmont Subdivision project, is set to expire on March 20, 2021. Prior to the expiration, the applicant requested a second one-year time extension to allow for additional time to complete the processing requirements for a Final Map. This project will be deemed expired unless the requested time extension is approved. Recommended Action: It is recommended that the City Council take public input, close the public hearing and adopt the Resolution. Discussion: The project site is an approximately 80-acre property located at the easterly terminus of Larchmont Street, which is just east of Pomerado Road and north of Twin Peaks Road. An approximate nine-acre area in the westerly most portion of the site, is in the Rural Residential C (RR-C) zone and the balance of the site is in the Rural Residential A (RR-A) zone. The project location and zoning map is included as Attachment B. The project site currently is comprised of two separate but contiguous legal lots. On March 20, 2018, the City Council approved TTM 16-005, which subdivides the project site into ten residential lots ranging in size from one to seven acres that are clustered in the westerly portion of the site, and includes approximately 59-acres of open space on the balance of the site as shown on Attachment C. No changes are proposed to the approved lot configuration. The TTM was approved by the City Council for two years pursuant to the Poway Municipal Code (PMC), and within that time the applicant is required to process and receive approval of a Final Map from the City Council. Section 16.10.080 of the PMC allows for a total of five one-year extensions. The first one-year time extension was approved on May 5, 2020. This is the second extension request for this 1 of 9 March 2, 2021, Item #4approved subdivision. The application for this time extension was submitted prior to the expiration date of the application and therefore the time extension can be granted. The applicant needs additional time to complete the Final Map process. The applicant is requesting City Council approval of a one-year time extension. All the findings and Conditions of Approval from City Council Resolution P-18-08 will remain in full force and effect. The project will be required to comply with all current regulations for landscaping and stormwater requirements. No new Conditions of Approval are recommended as this is only a time extension request. With approval of this extension request, the TTM approval will be extended to March 20, 2022. Environmental Review: Pursuant to Section 15162 of the California Environmental Quality Act Guidelines, additional environmental review is not required since the project is within the scope of the Mitigated Negative Declaration that was adopted in conjunction with the original project on March 20, 2018. Fiscal Impact: None. Public Notification: A Notice of Public Hearing was published in the Poway News Chieftain on Thursday, February 18, 2021. A public notice was mailed to property owners and occupants located within 500 feet of the project site. Attachments: A. Resolution B. Zoning and Location Map C. Approved TTM Reviewed/ Approved By: Assistant City Manager 2 of 9 Reviewed By: Alan Fenstermacher City Attorney Approved By: City Manager March 2, 2021, Item #4RESOLUTION NO. 21-A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF POWAY, CALIFORNIA, APPROVING TENTATIVE TRACT MAP 21-001; A SECOND TIME EXTENSION OF THE APPROVAL FOR TENTATIVE TRACT MAP 16-005; ASSESSOR'S PARCEL NUMBERS: 314-032-01 AND 314-370-05 WHEREAS, on March 20, 2018, the City Council approved Tentative Tract Map (TTM) 16-005, along with a Mitigated Negative Declaration, for a 10-lot subdivision of an approximately 80-acre site (which is comprised of two, contiguous, approximate 40-acre lots) located at the easterly terminus of Larchmont Street, in the Rural Residential A (RR-A) and Rural Residential C (RR-C) zones; WHEREAS, pursuant to Section 16.10.080 of the Poway Municipal Code (PMC), the City Council in May 2020 approved the first one-year time extension, which resulted in extending the expiration date of TTM 16-005 to March 20, 2021; WHEREAS, the applicant has submitted on January 19, 2021 a request pursuant to the PMC for a second one-year time extension of the project approval which extends the expiration date by 60 days, to May 19, 2021 (Government Code 66452.6(e)); WHEREAS, on March 2, 2021, the City Council held a duly advertised public hearing to solicit comments from the public, both for and against, relative to this application; and WHEREAS, the City Council has read and considered the agenda report for the proposed project and has considered other evidence presented at the public hearing. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the City Council of the City of Poway as follows: SECTION 1: Pursuant to Section 15162 of the California Environmental Quality Act Guidelines, additional environmental review is not required since the project is within the scope of the Mitigated Negative Declaration that was adopted in conjunction with the original project on March 20, 2018. SECTION 2: City Council Resolution P-18-08 remains in full force and effect except that a time extension for the approval is hereby granted by the City Council. The second time extension of this TTM approval shall be for one year from March 20, 2021 to March 20, 2022. SECTION 3: The parties are hereby informed that the time within which judicial review of this decision must be sought is governed by Section 1094.6 of the California Code of Civil Procedure. 3 of 9 ATTACHMENT A March 2, 2021, Item #4Resolution No. 20-Page 2 PASSED, ADOPTED AND APPROVED at a Regular Meeting of the City Council of the City of Poway, California on the 2nd day of March, 2021 by the following vote, to wit: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: DISQUALIFIED: Steve Vaus, Mayor ATTEST: Vaida Pavolas, CMC, City Clerk 4 of 9 March 2, 2021, Item #40 360 720 1,440 ~~--~-!.-~~~~~. Feet 5 of 9 CITYOF POWAY Zoning / Location Map Item: TTM21-001 ATTACHMENT B March 2, 2021, Item #41--= :,o·H"'° nr.r w L--LBn-t'. ( w.--- JI~ LOT 6 Q!OSS-7.lJOAC JICT•l,15 A!:' l .1 ,--\~ I ~OT IN(oR~TION AC~ l=5J 'i pl NIT AYO. ARE.'(•C.) OF JJIEA(AC, OF t,11£A(AC.) CIF ••. J? 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DATE: TO: FROM: ,-\ ..... -·~ CONTACT: SUBJECT: Summary: AGENDA REPORT CityofPoway March 2, 2021 Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council Aaron Beanan, Director of Financ~ Aaron Beanan, Director of Finance 858-668-4411 or abeanan@poway.org CITY COUNCIL General Fund Financial Results, COVID-19 Economic Impacts Update and Long-Range Forecast This report will discuss the General Fund financial results for Fiscal Year 2019-20 (ended June 30, 2020), provide a COVID-19 economic update, and present the first draft of the City's long-range financial forecast. Recommended Action: It is recommended that the City Council note and file the report on General Fund financial results, economic impacts, and long-range forecast. Discussion: Consistent with staff's commitment during the Fiscal Year 2020-21 (taking place from July 1, 2020 to June 30, 2021) budget process to update Council as often as applicable to the changing economic environment resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, staff will discuss the General Fund financial results for Fiscal Year ended June 30, 2020, provide a COVID-19 economic update, and present the first draft of the City's long-range financial forecast. General Fund Financial Results for Fiscal Year 2019-20 The Fiscal Year 2019-20 General Fund's results are presented in the table on the following page and will be discussed in more detail following the table on the next page. [Remainder of page intentionally left blank] 1 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5FY 2019-20 Projected FY 2019-20 Prelim. FY 2019-20 Final (as of April __ ~020) (as of August 2020) _ (Audited) Property Tax $22,750,001 $22,362,155 $22,362,155 Sales Tax 13,135,648 14,185,047 14,185,047 Franchise Fees, TOT 2,883,083 2,525,262 2,890,708 Other 9,195,596 9,680,108 10,379,110 ---------------------------Tot a I Operating Revenues 47,964,328 48,752,572 49,817,020 Legislative/Admin. Services 1,062,431 842,814 1,260,284 Finance 1,818,463 1,791,033 1,793,891 Human Resources 1,111,268 , 1,107,004 1,119,226 Community Services 6,083,434 · 5,708,872 · 5,719,232 Development Services 4,861,669 · 4,990,711 7,868,513 Public Works 6,083,876 5,708,872 5,667,791 Fire 13,026,391 13,013,153 13,175,003 Law Enforcement 13,504,284 13,492,256 13,511,871 ---------------------------Tot a I Operating Expenditures 47,551,816 46,654,715 50,115,811 Net Operating Change (298,791) Capital Expenditures (4,951,196) Proceeds from Sale 3,364,021 Transfers In 2,827,727 Transfers Out ________________________ (_2,_51_5_,0_4_2)_ Net Fund Balance Change (1,573,281) The final operating results for the General Fund were mostly consistent with staffs previous projections. Operating revenues came in about $1 million, or 2 percent, higher than expected. This was due to items such as successor agency administrative revenue ($380 thousand) and unclaimed funds ($244 thousand) that were higher than anticipated. However, operating expenses deviated much more than anticipated, $3.5 million or 7.4 percent, predominantly due to one-time accounting entries. The one-time accounting entries to reflect the land held for resale that was sold to the Poway Commons project developer created an increase in Development Services expenses of approximately $2.4 million. Without the one-time accounting entries, operating expenses would have been approximately 2 percent more than anticipated. Capital expenditures and transfers out totaled approximately $7.5 million while the proceeds from the Commons project land sale and transfers in totaled approximately $6.2 million. Overall, the General Fund balance decreased by $1.5 million for Fiscal Year 2019-20. Of this decrease in total fund balance, approximately $900 thousand was related to changes in items such as reserve levels and capital project spending. Unassigned fund balance decreased by approximately $600 thousand. COVID-19 Impacts for Fiscal Year 2019-20 and 2020-21 Economic Aid: The City has received federal aid as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. During Fiscal Year 2019-20 the City was awarded approximately $886 thousand in Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act funding through the County of San Diego. The award will help defray the City's costs in responding to the COVID-19 pandemic. These funds have not yet been accrued and reflected in the table above. Based on preliminary estimates, approximately 75 percent of this award amount will directly benefit the General Fund. The City also received over $54 thousand when staff applied to the Department of Health and Human Services to help defray the lost ambulance revenue discussed above. 2 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5The City has also provided its local businesses with economic aid during Fiscal Year 2019-20. For example, on April 16, 2020 the City Council approved $2,000,000 from the City's Extreme Events/Public Safety reserve to fund the Poway Emergency Assistance Recovery Loan (PEARL) program for small businesses. The PEARL program's goal is to offer financial assistance to small businesses located in Poway by complementing existing state and federal loan programs and to provide a financial bridge to businesses to survive the current emergency. As of August 31, 2020, staff had received 78 applications requesting over $2.8 million in loans. Based on staffs review, almost $1.4 million has been loaned under the program. During Fiscal year 2020-21 the City was awarded approximately $609 thousand in CARES Act funding through the State of California. This award will also help defray the City's costs in responding to the COVI D-19 pandemic. Between the County of San Diego and State of California CARES Act awards, the City will receive approximately $1.495 million. The City also has an application open with FEMA to help defray other costs incurred because of the COVID-19 pandemic such as personnel and equipment costs. FEMA reimburses 75 percent of eligible expenditures. Typically, the California Disaster Assistance Act (CDAA) would pick up another 18.75 percent of the FEMA eligible expenditures. However, on February 2, 2021 the White House issued a "Memorandum on Maximizing Assistance from the Federal Emergency Management Agency" that directed FEMA to reimburse 100 percent of eligible COVI D-19 expenditures. The City has also provided its local businesses with economic aid during Fiscal Year 2020-21. For example, on July 7, 2020 Council approved the purchase of picnic tables to assist Poway restaurants with the expansion of outdoor dining areas to help restaurants survive the economic hardships from COVI D-19. Additionally, Council approved the Sharing Outdoor Spaces (SOS) initiative at a special meeting on July 15, 2020. This program's goal is to help groups impacted by the State's July 13, 2020 order requiring the cessation of indoor activities by opening the City's open spaces, such as parks, to churches and fitness-oriented organizations, so they can continue to operate. COVID-19 Expenditure Impacts: Since the start of the COVID-19 emergency in March 2019, the City has spent resources to comply with State and County health mandates and support Poway's local economy. In Fiscal Year 2019-20 for example, from March through June the City spent over $21 O thousand in supplies. This includes purchases of personal protective equipment, materials for employee health screening stations, equipment to allow staff teleworking capabilities, etc. It also included the purchase of barricades and delineators to limit access to our public spaces like parks and trails. The City also spent approximately $830 thousand on staffing costs related to complying with the State and County health mandates, supporting the PEARL program, Farmers Market, and acquisition and distribution of personal protective equipment. These costs do not include other safety services support costs, such as the Sheriffs support or firefighter COVID-19 response calls and do differ from the Continuation of Emergency COVID-19 staff report as that report does not include staffing costs in the total. Staff anticipates that many of these costs will be reimbursed from the CARES Act or through the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). From July 1, 2020, the start of Fiscal Year 2020-21, to the writing of this report the City has continued to spend resources to comply with State and County health mandates and support Poway's local economy. Fiscal year to date expenditures total approximately $1 million. For example, the City has spent over $657 thousand on contractual services, much of which relates to purchase of a new civic services software package. This software will allow the City to provide services such as the submission, management, review, and tracking of permits, plan review, code compliance, and business/regulatory licensing completely online. The City has also spent over $21 O thousand in supplies. This includes 3 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5purchases of picnic tables for the picnic table program, personal protective equipment, materials for employee health screening stations, equipment to allow staff teleworking capabilities, etc. The City also spent approximately $11 O thousand on staffing costs complying with the State and County health mandates, supporting the picnic table program and SOS program, and acquisition and distribution of personal protective equipment. These costs do not include other safety services support costs, such as the Sheriffs support or firefighter COVID-19 response calls. Staff anticipates that many of these costs will be reimbursed from the CARES Act or through the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). Economic Trends Staff will spend less time in this staff report explaining background information since the September 15, 2020 staff report contained a high level of detail. Based on initial estimates from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) in January, the United States GDP grew at an annualized rate of 4.0 percent. This is consistent with many economist's expectations. For example, in December 2020 the UCLA Anderson Forecast anticipated a slowdown in fourth quarter growth as a result of "additional stay-at-home orders and the looming expiration of emergency benefits" which leads to weak labor markets and food/housing insecurity. The UCLA Anderson Forecast also anticipates strong growth in the second quarter of 2021 as a result of mass vaccinations and government spending which will help release and fuel pent up demand. The chart below reflects the most recent seven quarters of information. 19,500.0 19,000.0 7 C: ~ 18,500.0 1i -<Jl. ~ 18,000.0 Q. 0 <., ni 17,500.0 QI ex: 17,000.0 16,500 0 Q2 2019 United States-Gross Domestic Product Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Ql 2020 -31.4% 0.2 2020 33.4% Q3r 2020 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% -=o-QI -~ 10.00% ni ::s C: C: 0.00% 5. QI tlO -10.00% C: n, .s::. u 0 -20.00% 0 -30.00% -40 00% Q4a 2020 The stock market continues to have an overall optimistic view about where the economy is heading. As shown in the chart on the following page, in February 2020, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) reached an all-time high of 29,551.42 prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Subsequently, it slid to 18,591.93, a 37.1 percent decrease, in March 2020. As of the market close on January 20, 2021, it was 31,188.38, a 67.8 percent increase. The red line represents the pre-pandemic peak for reference. [Remainder of page intentionally left blank] 4of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #535,000 Dow Jones Industrial Average, Index, Daily, Not Seasonally Adjusted Peak: Feb 12, 2020; 29,551.42 Peak: Jan 20, 2021; 31,188.38 ~~~ ~ 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Trough: Mar 23, 2020: 18,591.93 ~" ~ ~" <;) ~<;) -..: ,,: <.: ,~ ~.: ->,., -:s:,e ':S)Q, ':()Q; ~q; v¢c ~ "--o ~---(l,,~ ~ ~q; oc., ~Q, c.,e~ ~o e<-· <;) ':\,",, \, 7,<::'---x'\, 1>' ~'0-":Q'v -..,-?> <-<.Q; As previously discussed, labor statistics are a very strong economic indicator for the COVID-19 pandemic. Initial unemployment claims summarized by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' Economic Data (FRED) are reflected in the chart below. Initial unemployment claims are still behaving as anticipated. The pause in declining claims is consistent with economist expectations that the fourth quarter of 2020 would be more challenging. Initial unemployment claims should continue to decrease in the first and second quarters of 2021 as the vaccine rollout continues to expand and labor demand in the sectors most heavily impacted by health orders continues to increase. Unites States -Initial Unemployment Claims (Weekly, SA) 7,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 5 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5The trends in the unemployment rate and job openings rate shown in the table below are also following expectations and consistent with the other data trends presented. This information was summarized from FRED. The national unemployment rate peaked in April 2020 at 14.7 percent and has dropped to 6.7 percent as of December 2020, a sharp 54.4 percent decrease. The job openings rate dropped to 3.7 percent in April 2020 and has increased to 4.4 percent as of November 2020, an 18.9 percent increase. 16 14 12 10 ~ Q> 8 +-' (V 0::: 6 4 2 0 United States -Unemployment Rate & Job Openings Rate -·~ 0 0 0 rl rl rl N N N M ~ M ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 00 00 00 m m m O O 0 rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl N N N 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN NNNNNNNNN 1N ---------------------------------rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl rl ---------------------------------rl ~ m rl ~ ~ rl ~ m rl ~ m rl ~ m rl ~ m rl ~ m rl ~ m M ~ rl ~ m rl ~ m As the chart on the following page shows, consumer confidence is still increasing, but at a decreasing rate. This data trend is also consistent with the UCLA Anderson Forecast and supports issues of food and housing insecurity resulting from the anticipated expiration of emergency benefits at the end of calendar year 2020. Consistent with the other data, consumer confidence is expected to increase as vaccine rollouts increase and consumers begin to face less food, housing, and job insecurity. [Remainder of page intentionally left blank] 6 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5Ill) C: 103 ,3 102.5 "'O QI .... Ill ::J 102 j "' 101.5 (1j Ill ] o 101 .~ 0 -.-I Q. II E e11 100.s <t ~ cf ai 100 u ;: ~ E Ill aj :s .... .. n, "'O C: n, .... ~ 0 u w 0 99.5 99 98.5 98 United States -Consumer Confidence 2.0Ct¾ 1.000/c, 0.0090 C1I b.O C n, .c u -1.00% ?I?. -2.00% -.3.00% The fourth quarter of 2020 was projected to be bumpy as a result of renewed stay at home orders and the anticipated expiration to emergency benefits. As shown in the previous graphics, most of the economic data has been consistent with that projection. The consensus forecast is for stronger growth in the second quarter of 2021 as vaccine rollouts become ubiquitous and pent up demand is released as stay at home orders are relaxed and consumers feel more confident to go out in public. While national and state economic statistics are useful in understanding the overall economic trends from the COVID-19 pandemic, there are several key revenue sources for the City that will indicate how Poway is trending. The two largest revenue sources for the City, accounting for 64.1 percent of revenue, are property tax and sales tax. Property tax represented 40.4 percent of General Fund revenues at June 30, 2020 while sales tax represented 25.8 percent. Property tax is less volatile to economic events than sales tax. As such, how sales tax is impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic is a good indicator about how the City will be impacted. Nationally, households have cut back on eating out and increased their spending on food purchases to prepare meals at home. The red dotted line in the chart on the following page represents instances when retails sales at restaurants match retail sales at grocery stores (i.e. people are eating out with the same frequency they are eating at home). The blue line represents retails sales at restaurants as a percentage of retails sales at grocery stores. [Remainder of page intentionally left blank] 7 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #51.10000 1.00000 0.90000 0.80000 0.70000 0.60000 O.SOOCXJ 0.40000 C) M 0 N .0 Cl.) ,._ Advance Retail Sales: Food Services and Drinking Places/Food and Beverage Stores en C) en Cf) O"l 0, C) °' 0, en 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .-l M M n n M .-, rl n r-1 N N N N N N N N N 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N I.. 0. > C: Ql) 0. u > u C .0 ro 0.. > C '=i.D 0. r,:i ro ~ ~ ::::l (lJ 0 w ~ (lJ ro ~ ~ ::::l Cl.) 2 <i 2 <i V'l 0 z Cl u.. 2 <i 2 <i (./"j 0 0 0 N N N 0 0 0 N N N u > u 0 Cl.) 0 z Cl This trend is important to Poway because these categories typically make up just under 10 percent of Poway's annual sales tax revenue. Over the course of the pandemic we have generally seen a shift in Poway's related sales tax categories consistent with the national trend. For the third quarter of 2020 the Food and Drugs category was up 13.4% while the Restaurants and Hotels category was down 13.1 percent compared to the prior year quarter. Some of Poway's other sales tax categories have been heavily impacted by the pandemic. For example, the Fuel and Service Stations category is down 40.5 percent third quarter of 2020 compared to the previous year quarter. As discussed in previous reports, the Wayfair decision has helped Poway's sales taxes as sales taxes from many online purchases (e.g. Amazon) are now being added to the County sales tax pools and allocated to the City. The State and County Pools category is up 70 percent in the third quarter of 2020 compared to the prior year quarter. The strong performance related to online sales has helped Poway's sales taxes in total. The volatility in the sales tax categories can also be seen in how Poway's sales tax forecasts have adjusted over the course of the pandemic as more information on how the pandemic is impacting Poway becomes available. The chart on the following page shows the pre-pandemic estimates for sales tax (i.e. the baseline) and the forecast revisions over the course of the pandemic. As HDL, the City's sales tax consultant, saw how the pandemic impacting certain categories more than others (e.g. Fuel and Service Stations vs. State and County Pools) the forecast was strengthened over time. [Remainder of page intentionally left blank] 8 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5HDL Sales Tax COVID Forecasts for Poway 15,000,000 14.S0M 14.59M 14.56M 14,500,000 14.35M 14.20M 14.20M 14,0J0,000 13,500,000 13,000,000 12,500,000 12,000,000 FY 2019-20 FY 2020-21 ■ Baseline ■ Revision 1 ■ Revision 2 ■ Revision 3 Revision 4 ■ Revision 5 The chart below shows how Poway's sales tax reacted to the Great Recession and how it's projected to react to the COVID-19 pandemic. The chart clearly shows the different economic impacts between the two types of recessions and supports the idea that this is a recession resulting from health mandates and not structural issues within the economy. During the Great Recession it took seven fiscal years until sales tax revenues exceeded previous highs and another four fiscal years to the recent peak, which was approximately $2.7 million more than the prior peak. At this time, sales tax revenues are projected to exceed pre-pandemic levels in Fiscal Year 2021-22, or three fiscal years. 20,000,000 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 HDL Sales Tax COVID 5-Year Forecast for Poway -Sales Tax Actuals/Forecast -Baseline (Great Recession) -Baseline (COVID Pandemic) 9 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5In summary, the economic data still supports a moderate recession scenario and there is now less concern about a worsening economic environment. As stated previously in the staff report, the consensus forecast is for stronger growth in the second quarter of 2021 as vaccine rollouts become ubiquitous and pent up demand is released as stay at home orders are relaxed and consumers feel more confident to go out in public. This will help Poway move back towards its normal economic experience. Staff will continue to monitor the economic environment, economists' projections, and Poway's revenue experiences compared to current projections to understand if the City should adapt its response to help further mitigate the economic impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic. Staff will return to Council with updated information as appropriate. As staff is monitoring the direct effects of the COVI D-19 pandemic on the City, they are also compiling data for the City's long-range forecast. This forecast will provide insights into the City's structural financial condition, which is separate from how the City is being economically impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The following sections will discuss the current version of the long-range forecast. Long-Range Forecast The City Council, City Manager, and Budget Review Committee were all in agreement that a long-range financial forecast should be developed. Finance is in the process of developing a long-range forecast. A long-range forecast does not predict the future; actuals results will differ from the forecast. Forecasts are inherently uncertain and the degree of uncertainty increases the longer the time horizon of the forecast is. However, a long-range forecast does help identify future challenges and opportunities, causes offiscal imbalances, and strategies to secure financial sustainability. Long-range forecasts typically have the following characteristics: • A time horizon that extends between five and ten years from the current period; five years being the most common while ten years is the most ideal according to research by David Osborne and Peter Hutchinson (authors of ''The Price of Government: Getting the Results We Need in an Age of Permanent Fiscal Crisis"); • Accounts for the interrelationships between all funds of the government; • Is periodically updated, generally no less frequently than every one to two years; • Presents long-term revenue and expenditure projections, discusses financial policies, and identifies financial strategies to address potential financial imbalances or other long-term issues; and • Is transparent and integrated within the government's planning framework. Long-range forecasts help examine the long-range financial implications of current decision making, take a broader look at the financial position and requirements, and highlight potential issues ahead of time to provide opportunities for proactive versus reactive solutions. They also reinforce the need to follow sounds financial management practices and help communicate to people in a format other than the annual budget. A long-range forecast also helps demonstrate a dedication to sound financial management to credit rating agencies. A long-range forecast for the City of Poway will help continue the City's tradition of proactive financial management to help ensure the City can provide a consistent and sustainable level of essential services into the future. An important component of a long-range forecast is the assumptions underlying the model. Current assumptions used in the model are detailed in the sections below and provided for transparency. 10 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5Revenues are discussed as a whole category while expenditures are broken down between personnel and maintenance and operations ("M&O"). M&O also includes minor capital (i.e. not capital projects) spending in the model. In most cases the budget, not historical actuals, represents the baseline from which the inflationary factors are applied. Additionally, this is a baseline forecast which means it only models known data and does not model scenarios. For example, the City's current labor contracts expire in June 2021. And while labor negotiations are anticipated to commence in March, items subject to the bargaining process are unknown at this time and, as a result, not included in the model. Revenue Assumptions: Revenue data is taken directly from Munis as of October 2020. The data has been grouped like the revenue categories in the Fiscal Year 2020-21 Operating Budget for consistency. Table 1 below shows the inflationary factors by fiscal year for certain revenues. Table 1: Assumptions for Primary Revenue Categories 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 Property Tax 4.50% 4.00% 4.00% 3.50% 3.00% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% Sales Tax 4.70% 3.80% 3.10% 2.80% 2.90% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% TOT 8.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% Motor Veh. Tax 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% Franchise Fees (0.50%) (0.50%) (0.50%) (0.50%) (0.50%) (0.50%) (0.50%) (0.50%) (0.50%) (0.50%) Cell Leases 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% Interest 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.10% 2.10% 2.30% 2.30% 2.30% 2.30% 2.30% The following is a list of the primary revenue assumptions used in Table 1: • Property Tax o Fiscal Year 2021-22 matches Fiscal Year 2020-21 estimates from the County of San Diego Assessor's Office based on UCLA's Anderson School of Business December 2020 Economic Outlook which suggested local governments should forecast property tax revenues at least as much as the current fiscal year. The increases through Fiscal Year 2024-25 remain higher as several large development projects are estimated to be completed within that time frame. Increases beyond that point move to a slower growth/lower home turnover inflationary factor consistent with Poway's growth curve and Proposition FF. • Sales Tax o Inflationary estimates are based on HDL's, the City's sales tax consultant,January 2021 five-year forecast • TOT o Fiscal Year 2021-22 represents a return towards normal. Future years inflationary increases track with historical data. • Motor Vehicle Tax o Based on historical data. • Franchise Fees o Based on historical data. Laws governing the State's calculation of franchise fees have been slow to adapt to a changing franchise environment. For example, the franchise fee for cable providers is heavily focused on "cable TV subscribers" and not "digital connections." As a result, revenue is slowly declining as more people "cut the cord" and opt for internet only services (i.e. no longer subscribe to cable TV). • Cell Leases o Based on the terms of the current lease agreements. 11 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5• Interest o Represents a slow increase consistent with policy indications from the Federal Reserve and mirrors the Congressional Budget Office's forecast as their model accounts for macroeconomic conditions. Macroeconomic conditions play a material role in how the City's portfolio performs. Revenues not listed in Table 1 were most commonly inflated using a confidence interval approach. In statistics, a confidence interval represents the range of plausible future values based on the historical data at a given confidence (e.g. 95 percent) that the future value will lie within the proposed range. For example, based on historical data there is a 95 percent chance property taxes in-lieu of VLF will increase between 3.72 and 5.15 percent. The exact amount within the plausible future range was selected based on what had most commonly occurred. For example, a single large deviation may have been adjusted for if it was an outlier. A few revenues, tied to lease agreements, were inflated by the 10-year CPI-U All Items SD-Carlsbad average change consistent with the terms inherent in most leases. Five development projects are also included within the forecast based on the best data staff has available to them. These development projects are The Farm, Fairfield, The Commons, The Outpost, and Creekside Plaza. The projects are expected to be fully developed between Fiscal Year 2021-22 and Fiscal Year 2023-24. Estimates for property tax and sales tax for each development are shown in the estimated fiscal year of completion and are inflated thereafter by the assumptions in Table 1. Since the projects are primarily residential, most, approximately 70 percent, of the projected increases are in property taxes. Expense Assumptions (Personnel): Personnel data is taken directly from Munis as of October 2020 and includes all vacancies as of that data extraction. The data has been grouped like the expense categories in the Fiscal Year 2020-21 Operating Budget for consistency. Table 2 shows the inflationary factors by fiscal year for personnel expenses. Table 2: Assumptions for Personnel Categories 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 Salary Increases 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% CalPERS-Misc.1 30.47% 32.16% 32.97% 33.70% 30.93% 31.00% 30.88% 30.75% 30.63% Cal PERS -Safety1 43.49% 45.02% 45.53% 45.95% 45.59% 45.14% 44.68% 44.23% 43.78% Health Benefits1 16.00% 16.04% 16.08% 16.12% 16.16% 16.20% 16.24% 16.28% 16.32% Other Benefits1 10.73% 11.24% 11.78% 12.35% 12.94% 13.56% 14.21% 14.89% 15.60% Overtime1 0.93% 1.09% 0.57% 0.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1. Are not percentage increases but a percentage of salaries. The following is a list of the primary personnel assumptions used in Table 2: • Vacancies o Assumed filled as of Fiscal Year 2021-22. o Budgeted at Step 3 consistent with annual operating budget practices. • Salary increases o No increases forecast beyond normal step movement. • Retirement Benefits o Based on CalPERS Pension Outlook tool and further discussed below. • Health Benefits (i.e. Medical, Dental, and Vision) 2030-31 0.00% 30.50% 43.33% 16.36% 16.35% 0.00% o Represented as a percentage of salaries {~16 percent) consistent with how the Bureau of Labor Statistics tracks health benefits. o Actual percentages have been adjusted to the City's experience 12 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5• Other Benefits (e.g. Medicare, Long Term Disability Insurance, Worker's Compensation, etc.) o Represented as a percentage of salaries (ranging from ~10% to 16%) consistent with how the Bureau of Labor Statistics tracks health benefits. o Actual percentages have been adjusted to the City's experience. • Overtime o As a function of base pay (i.e. OT increases as base pay increases). Assumptions for CalPERS employer rates came directly from Cal PERS Pension Outlook tool and are based on the June 30, 2019 actuarial valuation, the most recent actuarial available. The Pension Outlook tool uses data from the most recent actuarial valuation reports, economic and demographic assumptions as published in the Cal PERS Experience Study and Review of Actuarial Assumptions, and any user selected modeling assumptions. The next two charts provide a visual representation of the employer rates, as a percentage of salaries, used in the City's long-range forecast and does not include any user modeling assumptions (i.e. this is the base Pension Outlook forecast). As the charts indicate, CalPERS rates are projected to peak during Fiscal Year 2024-25 and begin to decrease thereafter. CalPERS Funded Status & Employer Rates (Miscellaneous Plan) 40.00% 105.00% 33.70% 35.00% 100.00% 30.00% 95.00% 25.00% 90.00% 20.00% 85.00% 15.00% 80.00% 10.00% 75.00% 5.00% 70.00% 0.00':J,.£ 65.00% .-; N ('() tj-U") •..o r-.. 00 er, 0 rl N m tj-U"') \D r-.. 00 O"l ~ ~ N qj) ~ ~ ~ r-.. co ~ 0 N ~ N N N N N N N ,-;; (f) ~ ('(') rr ('() (f') (f') (f') ('(') tj-tj-tj-Uj 6 .-I N «> ~ J; J> r-.'.. 00 O'i 6 .-I N ("/") tj-J; J> r-.'.. 00 O'i 6 ~ N «> ~ J; <.D r-.'.. 00 d-. N N N N N N N N N N r1") ('('_, ('(') ('() ('() (Y') r1") ("() ('() (f') tj-tj-tj-tj-tj-tj-tj-tj-tj-tj-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N N N N N N N N (",I N N N N N N N N N ("-,I N N N N N N ...,_Total Employer Rate ...,_Funded l~atio [Remainder of page intentionally left blank] 13 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #550.00% 45.00% 40.00% 35.00% 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% .-l N ('() N N N 0 ~ N N N N 0 0 0 N N N Cal PERS Funded Status & Employer Rates {Safety Plan) 45.95% 105.00% 100.00% 95.00% 90.00% 85.00% 80.00% 75.00% 70.00% 65.00% tj" I.I) <.D r---00 Cl', 0 rl N M tj' I.I) <.D r---00 O'\ ~ .-; ~ ~ 1 I.I) ~ r---~ O'\ 0 N N N N N N N') ('(") t:t, ('() r,:, ('() ('() ('() ('() ('() tj' tj" tj' "1 U') m '<1" Ji J, r.'.. 00 di 0 ~ N ,..,, tj-Ji J, r.'.. 00 di 0 ~ N ,..,, tj-Ji J, r.'.. 00 d, N N N N N N N ('() ('() ('() ('() M ('(:, (() (() ('() M '<t tj" tj' '<t tj' tj" -:t' tj' tj' '<t' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N ...,_Total Employer Rate ...,_Funded Ratio At the projected peak in Fiscal Year 2024-25, the City's anticipated contribution to Cal PERS for all funds is $7.77 million which is comprised of $2.37 million in normal cost and $5.40 million in unfunded liability. By 2049-50, the City's projected contribution for all funds is $3.64 million which is completely comprised of the normal cost as the unfunded liability has theoretically been paid off. However, it is important to note a pension is only fully funded at a point in time. The City will always incur some level of unfunded liability as adverse changes in investment earnings, actuarial assumptions, etc. create new unfunded liability. Expense Assumptions (Maintenance and Operations and Minor Capital): M&O and minor capital data is taken directly from Munis as of October 2020. The data has been grouped like the expense categories in the Fiscal Year 2020-21 Operating Budget for consistency with specific categories added as appropriate. Table 3 shows the inflationary factors by fiscal year for M&O and minor capital expenses. Table 3: Assumptions for Primary M&O Categories 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31 Prof./Cont. Svcs. 3.55% 3.55% 3.55% 3.55% 3.55% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% Supplies 2.85% 2.85% 2.85% 2.85% 2.85% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% Utilities 7.65% 7.65% 7.65% 7.65% 7.65% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% Asset Mgmt. (Maint.) 7.55% 7.55% 7.55% 7.55% 7.55% 7.50% 7.50% 7.50% 7.50% 7.50% Asset Mgmt. (Repl.) 7.05% 7.05% 7.05% 7.05% 7.05% 7.00% 7.00% 7.00% 7.00% 7.00% Misc. Oper. Exp. 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% Cost Allocation 5.80% 5.80% 5.80% 5.80% 5.80% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% Capital Outlay 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% 2.14% Capital Replacement 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% Capital Imp. Program 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Law Enforcement 4.95% 4.95% 4.95% 4.95% 4.95% 4.35% 4.35% 4.35% 4.35% 4.35% [Remainder of page intentionally left blank] 14 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5The following lists the assumptions that were used in the development of the inflationary factors in Table 3: • Professional/Contract Services o First 5 years: Based on average historical change (excludes law enforcement costs). o Second 5 years: 10-year CPI-U All Items SD-Carlsbad average change. • Supplies o First 5 years: Based on average historical change. o Second 5 years: 10-year CPI-U All Items SD-Carlsbad average change. • Utilities o First 5 years: Based on average historical change. o Second 5 years: 10-year CPI-U All Items SD-Carlsbad average change. • Asset Management (Maintenance) o First 5 years: Based on average historical change. o Second 5 years: Mirrors average historical change given maintaining aging infrastructure costs more over time. • Asset Management (Replacement) o First 5 years: Based on average historical change. o Second 5 years: Mirrors average historical change given the need to replace aging infrastructure increases and costs more over time. • Miscellaneous Operating Expenses o First 5 years: Based on average historical change. o Second 5 years: 10-year CPI-U All Items SD-Carlsbad average change. • Cost Allocation (this is a negative expense added to approximate expense cost share impacts to the General Fund) o First 5 years: Based on average historical change. o Second 5 years: 10-year CPI-U All Items SD-Carlsbad average change. • Capital Outlay o First 5 years: 10-year CPI-U All Items SD-Carlsbad average change. o Second 5 years: 10-year CPI-U All Items SD-Carlsbad average change. • Capital Replacement o Moderate increase in replacement set aside to account for inflation while also increasing the amount being set aside. • Capital Improvement Program o No new capital projects are projected to be funded by the General Fund at this time. • Law Enforcement (separated out given the contract has agreed upon inflationary factors that are different than other contracts) o First 5 years: Based on 5-year average historical change. o Second 5 years: Based on 10-year average historical change. [Remainder of page intentionally left blank] 15 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5Projection: The charts below show the baseline long-range forecast for the General Fund. The charts includes six years of actuals (fiscal year ended 2015 -2020), one year of budget (fiscal year ended 2021 }, and ten years of projections (fiscal year ended 2022 -2031 ). The line graph shows the General Fund revenues and expenses over time. The bar chart shows the related surplus or deficit in each year and is related to the right axis. 75,(X)0,000.00 70,(X)0,000.00 V) 65,000,000.00 QJ V) C ~ 60,000,000.00 X UJ O(j 55,000,000.00 I.I) QJ :::, ~ 50,000,000.00 > QJ 0:::: V) a., V) C QJ a.. X UJ O(j V) a., :::; C QJ > QJ 0:::: 40,000,000.00 35,000,000.00 4,000,000.00 3,000,000.00 2,000,000.00 1,000,000.00 (1,000,000.00) (2,000,000.00) 16 of 19 <---:\,' '\,C) General Fund Revenues and Expenses ..._Total Revenues ..._Total Expenses General Fund Surplus/(Deficit) I I I I ■ I I I I I I I I I ■ :-,.'<> ~ :-,.'b ~ ~C) C'v"',, (\,'\, . .,, ~ ~ C'v(o ~ (\,'b "OJ 2->C) \)'?"',, <:)'\, '\,<:) '\,<:) 1,<::> '\,C) '\,C) '\,C) '\,<:) '\,C) '\,C) '\,<:) '\,<:) '\,<:) C)"' '\,(j 1; '\: ~ March 2, 2021, Item #5There are a few large swings in the forecast that warrant explanation. Fiscal Year 2019-20 actuals had a steep increase in revenues and expenses as compared to prior year actuals. As detailed in the City's comprehensive annual financial report and discussed previously in this report, this was predominantly a combination of pension costs and one-time accounting entries to record the land sale to the Poway Commons project developer. The one-time accounting entries are not included in the future projections. Fiscal Year 2020-21 's budget is lower than Fiscal Year 2019-20 actuals as a result of staffs COVID-19 retrenchment techniques. It also appears to deviate significantly because of the prior year one-time accounting entries. Since budget adoption, staff has made several revenue adjustments based on updated information for Sales Tax and Property Tax in lieu of VLF, among others. As a result of those revenue adjustments, the chart above reflects an anticipated surplus of slightly more than $1.5 million. During budget adoption Council had authorized a $1.5 million transfer from the General Fund Revenue Volatility Reserve in compliance with the General Fund Reserve Policy to stabilize anticipated shortfalls in revenue categories like sales taxes and property taxes. This transfer has not yet been made but does show up in the budgeted amounts in the chart. As such, Fiscal Year 2020-21 should be viewed as "breaking even" at this point as staff would not make the reserve transfer unless necessary. It should also be noted that staff is in the process of calculating projected actuals for the fiscal year. Once those amounts have been calculated, the forecast will be adjusted to reflect projected actuals instead of budget. Fiscal Year 2021-22 does currently project a small surplus. However, the primary factor for the projected surplus is a result of the annual General Fund Reserve Policy calculation. Based on the forecast calculation, there are more funds in the General Fund reserve than are required by the policy. When this situation occurs, staff transfers the difference back to the General Fund. Without this transfer, which is estimated at ~$847 thousand, the Fiscal Year 2021-22 projections would show a deficit. Once the Fiscal Year 2021-22 operating budget has been calculated, the forecast will be adjust to reflect budgeted amounts instead of forecasted amounts. Fiscal Year 2022-23 shows a large deficit which is primarily the result of several things. Due to increasing operating expenditures, more funds need to be set aside to maintain compliance with the General Fund Reserve Policy. This accounts for ~$740 thousand of the projected deficit. Professional services are also projected to increase by ~$935 thousand. Of that projected increase, ~$731 thousand is related to the law enforcement contract. Large expenditures like this, which total ~1.675 million between these two items, are eliminating gains in revenues. For example, property tax is expected to increase ~$1 million while sales tax is projected to increase ~$685 thousand. The City's two largest revenue sources are projected to increase only slightly more than the amounts needed to comply with the General Fund Reserve Policy and projected increases in professional services. In addition to the information above for each individual fiscal year, Cal PERS rates are also increasing in the early forecast years. For example, the Miscellaneous Plan's rates are projected to increase by 10.6 percent while the Fire Plans are projected to increase 5.7 percent between Fiscal Year 2020-21 and Fiscal Year 2024-25. From Fiscal Year 2023-24 to the end of the forecast period, expenses begin slowly increasing at a decreasing rate and revenues beginning increasing at an increasing rate. The two largest factors contributing to this trend are that the expected Cal PERS employer rates peak in Fiscal Year 2024-25 and that the five new development projects are expected to reach completion by the end of Fiscal Year 2023-24. 17 of 19 March 2, 2021, Item #5Broad Takeaways: Based on the current data, the next few years will be challenging to maintain the status quo for the City's General Fund, let alone fund increases in personnel, services, or capital spending. Expenses continue to increase more quickly than revenues. As Cal PERS pension reform begins to show results and the City's current development projects come online, maintaining the status quo will become more feasible with the possibility to fund increases in personnel, services, or capital spending becoming significantly more feasible towards the late 2020's. Challenges and Opportunities: Based on staffs review of the City's financial framework there are several challenges: • Ability to attract/retain high quality staff with competitive salary and benefits packages • Ability to fund core services is constrained as the costs to fund services increase • Ability to fund the rehabilitation and replacement of City's assets using a pay-go approach As indicated in the long-range forecast assumptions, the forecast does not include future salary increases beyond normal merit (step} increases as employees advance through their ranges. Ranges have five steps. Across the board salary increases are subject to the bargaining process between the City and unions. Over time not having salary increases outside of the normal merit movement can create issues with employment competitiveness compared to neighboring agencies and increase employment turnover leading to higher costs and decreased productivity. Costs to fund core services continue to increase, in many cases, at or above the pace at which revenues increase. This pattern is anticipated to continue for the near future. For example, property tax revenue is projected to increase by an average 3.80 percent over the next five fiscal years and sales tax revenue by an average of 3.46 percent while law enforcement expenditures are projected to increase by an average of 4.86 percent over the same time period. As the City's infrastructure continues to age, more will need to be invested in rehabilitation or replacement of the City's assets. Staff has been analyzing the City's assets to understand the ability to fund replacement and rehabilitation spending using a pay-go approach. The initial analysis suggests there is a gap between the funding set aside and the replacement/rehabilitation needs. While staff has not yet determined the shortfall for all assets, gaps between funding and need can delay the replacement or rehabilitation of the City's assets. Based on staff's review of the City's financial framework, there are also opportunities for enhancing the City's financial sustainability. The financial framework may be broadly improved by increasing revenues or decreasing expenses. The following list contains examples: • Revenues o Ensure fees appropriately recover costs and keep pace with inflation o Ensure shared operational costs are being appropriately allocated amongst funds o Pursue a revenue enhancement measure • Expenses 18 of 19 o Determine sustainable service levels o Pursue business process refinements and technological enhancements to help existing staff keep up with increasing regulatory mandates o Reallocate replacement funding towards operations and issue debt for replacement needs o Pursue pension obligation bonds to attempt a reduction in retirement costs March 2, 2021, Item #5Next Steps: This long-range forecast represents a point in time based on data available to date. Staff will update the long-range forecast with Fiscal Year 2020-21 projected actuals and with the Fiscal Year 2021-22 General Fund Operating budget as the information becomes available. Additionally, staff will continue improving the long-range forecast and refining its forecasting methods. For example, staff will continue to build out a statistical approach in the model such that a range of possible futures can be presented. This will help better communicate the challenges and opportunities facing the City's financial future. Environmental Review: This action is not subject to review under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). Fiscal Impact: There is no direct fiscal impact associated with the COVID-19 Economic Updates and long-range forecast as it only contains information related to the financial performance of the General Fund. Public Notification: None. Attachments: None. Reviewed/ Approved By: ~~v-----w~daserman Assistant City Manager 19 of 19 Reviewed By: Alan Fenstermacher City Attorney City Manager March 2, 2021, Item #6DATE: TO: FROM: CONTACT: SUBJECT: Summary: AGENDA REPORT City of Poway CITY COUNCIL March 2, 2021 Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council Eric Heidemann, Director of Public Works f '\lr ~ Will Wiley, Assistant Director of Public Works for Maintenance Operation/f/ (858) 668-4705 or wwiley@poway.org 7 SB 1383 Solid Waste Regulation Updates This report will provide an overview of Senate Bill (SB) 1383, Short-Lived Climate Pollutants: Organic Waste Methane Emissions Reductions, regulations that will go into effect on January 1, 2022, and summarize the current status of the City's efforts and the next steps to be taken to implement an organics recycling compliance program. Recommended Action: It is recommended that the City Council receive and file this report. Discussion: The City of Poway is subject to various State mandates instituted for the purpose of achieving landfill diversion. Diversion is defined as the process of redirecting waste away from a ~andfill destination to be recycled or reused in some capacity. Typically, aluminum cans, paper, cardboard, and some plastics can be recycled, which achieve landfill diversion. Similarly, organic waste such as grass clippings and yard waste ("green waste"), and food waste can be diverted away from landfills by composting and other forms of organic recycling. The State of California has targeted landfills as a key source of greenhouse gas emissions, and the State has passed a series of laws aimed at reducing the quantity of waste being sent to landfills. Assembly Bill (AB) 1826, Mandatory Commercial Organics Recycling, went into effect on April 1, 2016, which requires some businesses, including multifamily properties with five or more units, to recycle their organic waste. This law defines organic waste as food waste, food soiled paper, landscape debris, and clean wood waste. Specifically, it requires any business generatingtwo (2) or more cubic yards of solid waste weekly (trash, recycling and organic waste combined) to recycle their organic waste (under AB 1826, multifamily properties are only required to recycle landscape debris). AB 1826 also requires the City to implement a commercial organic waste recycling program that includes identifying threshold businesses, educating them on organic recycling requirements and how to 1 of 3 March 2, 2021, Item #6comply, and monitoring compliance. Starting on January 1, 2022, SB 1383 increases the reach of AB 1826 and requires that organic waste collection be mandatory for residential properties, in addition to several more requirements aimed at reducing organic waste levels statewide. The legislation tasks California's Department of Resources and Recovery (CalRecycle) with developing the regulations that will impose those requirements necessary to achieve the state-wide targets of reducing organic waste disposal by 75 percent by 2025 and increasing edible food recovery for human consumption currently landfilled by 20 percent by 2025. To determine the impacts to the City, staff has reviewed and analyzed SB 1383, attended informal workshops held by Cal Recycle, and worked with member jurisdictions of the Regional Solid Waste Association (RSWA), of which the City is a member, to identify a compliance action plan. The following summarizes the requirements of the City per Cal Recycle starting January 1, 2022: • Provide organic waste collection to all residents and businesses. • Conduct outreach and education to Tier One (commercial edible food generators, e.g., supermarket, with a total facility size equal or greater than 10,000 sq. ft.) and Tier Two (commercial edible food generators, such as restaurants, hotels and health facilities with on-site food facilities) edible food generators, food recovery organizations, and city/county departments. • Procure recycled organic waste products like compost, mulch, and renewable natural gas. • Inspect and monitor Tier One and Tier Two edible food generators and enforce compliance through enforceable ordinances. • Conduct capacity planning evaluating the City's readiness to implement SB 1383 regulations, and if found to be insufficient, implement an edible food recovery program. • Maintain accurate and timely records of SB 1383 compliance. Next Steps: The City and its franchise waste hauler, EDCO Waste & Recycling Services (EDCO) are implementing an organics recycling program starting March 1, 2021, beginning with residential collection, then incorporating businesses and multi-family residences by the end of 2021. In June 2020, the City Council approved the residential organic waste collection program, which consisted of incorporating an automatic collected green cart to the solid waste collection program. From September -October 2020, EDCO delivered over 14,000 green carts to residents for green waste collection with the intention of utilizing them to also start collecting organic waste in 2021 in time for the SB 1383 requirement. EDCO and the City, via existing contracts and staff, will be providing extensive outreach and support to residents and businesses throughout the transition and aims to bring as many accounts into compliance by January 1, 2022. In order to implement an outreach and education program for edible food generators, as well as conduct inspections and monitoring, the City participated in a Request for Proposal (RFP) process for qualified consulting firms along with fellow members of RSWA and are currently negotiating a cost-share agreement for consulting and outreach services. Staff is contracting out these services due to the lack of available staff capacity and in-house technical knowledge and experience related to the required scope of services required for compliance. Existing funds from grants and RSWA funding will be sufficient to cover the first two years of required services, after which staff will re-assess the City's efforts and success in achieving compliance and determine whether additional staff is required or participation in the cost-share agreement is necessary. During the second quarter of 2021, Cal Recycle will be releasing multiple capacity planning tools and 2 of3 March 2, 2021, Item #6guidance documents to assist jurisdictions on determining disposed organic waste and edible food, as well as assessing existing, new, or expanded infrastructure and available capacity. The need for capacity planning and additional edible food programming will be determined with these tools and the City can begin planning, in coordination with CalRecycle and San Diego County, if the available programs are deemed insufficient. Lastly, staff are in the process of drafting changes to the City's Municipal Code Chapter 8.68 Solid Waste Management in order to support enforcement and compliance with new regulations. These changes and any necessary changes to the City's Franchise Agreement with EDCO will be presented to the City Council at a future meeting in the third quarter of 2021 for consideration. Environmental Review: This action is not subject to review under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). Fiscal Impact: None. Public Notification: None. Attachments: None. Reviewed/Approved By: We~aserman Assistant City Manager 3 of3 Reviewed By: Alan Fenstermacher City Attorney City Manager M EMQRAN DLJ M City of Poway DATE: TO: FROM: March 2, 2021 Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council Vaida Pavolas, City Clerk (858) 668-4535 or vpavolas@poway.org SUBJECT: Appointments to the Budget Review Committee and Parks and Recreation Advisory Committee The City Clerk's Office accepted applications from January 20, 2021 through February 18, 2021. 15 applications were received from residents wishing to serve on the Budget Review Committee (BRC) and 11 applications were received from residents wishing to serve on the Parks and Recreation Advisory Committee (PRAC). Staff received the following nominations from Council: Budget Review Committee -3 Vacancies I Councilmember Grosch I -Co~-ncilme,r;berFrank-·--- ----Councilmember Mullin Parks & Recreation Advisory Committee -5 Vacancies , Mayo_!_yaus _ _ Deputy Mayor Leonard Councilmember Grosch -- 1 Councilmember Frank Councilmember Mullin I J. Ha..r:_ry Jones __ _ I Marc Hennen I Mike Furl~no- 1 Kim Macdo~ald Derrick Benson Staff recommends City Council concur to appoint three members to the BRC and five members to the PRAC, as nominated above, for a two-year term expiring December 31, 2022. 1 of 1 March 2, 2021, Item #7