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Item 4 - Recommendation from Blue Sky Ecologival Reserve Bicycle Advisory AGENDA - ~PORT SUMMARY TO: Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council - FROM: James L. Bowersox, City Ma~ INITIATED BY: John D. Fitch, Assistant City Managep[1't Robert L. Thomas, Director of Community Services ~ DATE: October 17, 1995 SUBJECf: Recommendation from Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Bicycle Advisory Committee ABSTRACT On November 15, 1994, the City Council approved a cooperative agreement with the State of California Department of Fish and Game to conduct a six month trial period for bicycle access into Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. The agreement stipulated that an advisory coordinating committee composed of interested parties would be formed to evaluate the results of the six month trial period and advise the City and the State on future bicycle use at Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. On September 13, 1995, the Bicycle Advisory Committee voted to recommend that bicycle access be prohibited at Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. , - ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW This item is not subject to CEQA review. FISCAL IMPACT , None. ADDITIONAL PUBLIC NOTIFICATION AND CORRESPONDENCE Additional notification sent to Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Bicycle Advisory Committee. RECOMMENDATION It is recommended that the City Council recommend to the State Department of Fish and Game that bicycle access be prohibited in the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. ACTION 1 of 69 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 - AGENDA REPORt CITY OF POW A Y TO: ~onorable Mayor and Members of the City Council FROM: James L. Bowersox, City M~ INITIATED BY: John D. Fitch, Assistant City Manage~~ Robert L. Thomas, Director of Communit Services ~ DATE: October 17, 1995 SUBJECT: Recommendation from Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Bicycle Advisory Committee BACKGROUND Title 14 of the California Administrative Code prohibits bicycle access in an ecological reserve except on designated access roads. In response to considerable input from the bicycle community desiring access into the Reserve, the City entered into a cooperative agreement with the State Department of Fish and Game. Under the terms of the agreement bicycles would be allowed into the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve for a six month trial period. The agreement stipulated that during the trial period, bicycle access would be restricted to the Green Valley Truck Trail and on the trail connecting to the ,Lake Poway campground. Furthermore, a IO-mile per hour speed limit for bicycles was mandated and bicycles were excluded from the Reserve on Fridays and until noon on Saturday. The agreement called for the City to recruit and train a volunteer bike patrol to educate and advise cyclists on the rules and regulations. Also, the City agreed to distribute written rules of the regulations and post signs along Green Valley Truck Trail specifying bicycle trail use rules. One of the principal elements of the cooperative agreement was the formation of an advisory committee to evaluate the results of the six month trial period and to advise the City and State on future bicycle access at Blue Sky. The Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Bicycle Advisory Committee had its first meeting in December 1994. The twelve member committee was composed from representatives of the bicycle community, the Blue Sky docents, the educational community, the Department of Fish and Game, the County of San Diego, and the City of Poway (Attachment I). ACTION: 2 of 69 1 Agenda Report - B1 ue Sky Bi cyc 1 e Commit tee Recommendat i 011 October 17, 1995 Page 2 At one of the initial meetings, the committee agreed to evaluate the six month bicycle access trial period based on the impact of bicycles on wildlife, the compatibility of bicycles and other users, and whether bicyclists could follow the established rules. FINDINGS The six month trial period for bicycle access at Blue Sky Ecological Reserve commenced on February 1, 1995 and terminated on July 31, 1995. In order to evaluate the impact of bicycles, two subcommittees were formed. The duty of the first subcommittee was to assess whether bicycles could adhere to the established rules for bicycle access during the six month trial period. Gene Lamke, Chair of the San Diego State University Department of Recreation, Parks and Tourism, enlisted SDSU students enrolled in two recreation classes to conduct the study. All of the students in the classes were responsible for completing three 3-hour observations (9 total hours) at the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. The study period began the first weekend of March and concluded with the last weekend in May. Data was collected on user observation forms which specified the date, time, location, and weather conditions at the time of data collection. Collectors were told to identify the type of user observed and whether users behavior violated the established rules of conduct for that user type. In addition to assessing adherence to the rules by bicyclists, a secondary purpose of the study was to compare data between cyclists and non-cyclists relative to adherence to established rules and regulations. Attached is the final copy of the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve User Observation Study (Attachment 2). The second subcommittee was formed to evaluate the impact of bicycle use in the Reserve on wildlife. Robert Patton, Supervising Park Ranger, and Alan Torretto, a biology teacher at Poway High School supervised the work of this subcommittee. Wildlife and human activity was documented along the Green Valley Truck Trail during the six month trial period through weekly paired samples. One sampling was conducted during a period when bicycles were not to be present and a second during a period when bicycles were present. Following the trial period, the data for each sampling period were compared to detect if there were any differences in the number of wildlife sightings, wildlife abundance, species diversity, wildlife behavior, or distance from the Green Valley Truck Trail relative to the presence or absence of bicycles. Four stations were selected at intervals along the Green Valley Truck Trail adjacent to each habitat type. One to two monitors spent 30 minutes at each station on two consecutive weekend mornings from approximately 9:00 a.m. to 12:00 noon. Observers documented vertebrate wildlife within view of the station and human activity passing by the station during each 30 minute monitoring period. Data was entered on standardized forms and tabulated and analyzed by computer. Attached is the final copy of the Wildlife Monitoring During the Bicycle Trial Period at Blue Sky Ecological Reser~a (Attachment 3). In addition to the work of the two subcommittees, a volunteer bike patrol was formed to educate bicyclists on the rules and regulations during the six month trial period. The volunteer bike patrol was administered by Terry Callan and K.C. Butler. The patrols consisted of three, 4 hour shifts with one on Saturday afternoons and two on Sundays. Approximately 50 volunteers participated in the patrols. In addition to educating bicyclists on the OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 3 of 69 Agenda Report - Blue ~ky Bicycle Committee Recommendation October 17, 1995 Page 3 rules, the bicycle patrol volunteers also documented user behavior and violations within the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. On September 13, 1995, the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Bicycle Advisory Committee met to evaluate the data from the two studies. In discussing the user observation study, the committee focused on the number of violations by cyclists as compared to the total number of observations. As shown on Table 4, a total number of 3374 users of all categories were observed during the study. Of this total, 592 or 17.5% of all users were identified as bicyclists. As shown on Table 7, from 397 total observations, 93 bicycle violations were noted or a violation rate of 23.4%. This compared to 34 violations for non-cyclists from a total of 1478 observations or a violation percentage of 2.3%. 8y excludin9 such uses as equestrian, vehicles, and interpretive staff on foot, these figures were adjusted in Table 8 to reflect 2.2% violations for non-cyclists and 20.7% violations for cyclists. Table 6 of the study showed that the principal violations by bicyclists were excessive bike speed and bikes in the Reserve during excluded times. In discussing the Wildlife Monitoring Study, the committee focused on the average number of species observed, average number of sightings, and average number of animals during periods of low and high bike usage and periods when bikes were present and not present. Low bike usage was defined as a period of four bikes or less and high bike usage as a period of five bikes or more. Table 11 of the study shows the modified average observations which eliminated the extreme high and low observations. This table compared period of low bike use against periods of high bike use, and periods of no bike use against all )evels of bike use (low and high). During periods of low bike use an average of 22 species, 82 sightings, and 52 animals were observed. In contrast, observations during periods of high bike use averaged 17 species, 63 sightings, and 37 animals. No bike use resulted in average observations of 23 species, 90 sightings, and 57 animals. Whereas, any level of bike use reduced these numbers to 18 species, 64 sightings, and 38 animals. One of the criteria in evaluating continued bicycle access in the Reserve was whether bicyclists could adhere to the rules and regulations. The majority of committee members interpreted the User Observation Study to conclude that bicyclists could not sufficiently obey established rules. As cited in Table 8 of the study, 20.7% of total observations resulted in violations by cyclists, while only 2.2% of total observations resulted in violations by non-cyclists. The majority of the committee concluded that this data also supported the premise that bicyclists could not be compatible with other users of the Reserve. Another criteria in evaluating continued bicycle access was the impact of bicycles on wildlife. The majority of committee members felt that the data contained in the Wildlife Monitoring Study was less definit}ve than the data contained in the User Observation Study. Of the 19 Saturday samples when bicycles were to be excluded, only eight recorded no bicycles during the monitoring period. Saturday was, therefore, invalidated as an experimental control and observation periods were evaluated not by day of week but by presence or absence of bicycles. Even with the reduced sample size, the majority of the committee did interpret data in Table 11 as indicating a negative trend when assessing the impact of bicycles on wildlife. tlCT 17 1995 ITEM 4 4 of 69 ,- Agenda Report - Blue Sky Bicycle Committee Recommendation October 17, 1995 Page 4 A minority of committee members expressed an opinion that both studies were flawed. Among the reasons expressed were difficulty in determining bicycle speed, confusion a$ to when bicycles were allowed, concentration of bicycle use on specific days and adverse affect of other uses on wildlife and the enjoyment of the Reserve. In order to arrive at a recommendation, the committee identified three alternatives for determining bicycle access in the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. The three alternatives are: 1) prohibit bicycle access, 2) unlimited bicycle access on Green Valley Truck Trail and on the trail connecting to the lake Poway campground, and 3) limited bicycle access by restricted hours of use similar to the six month trial period. There were seven members of the committee deemed eligible to vote reflecting the various constituencies. Six members voted for the first alternative to prohibit bicycle use, one member voted for the second alternative which allowed for unlimited bicycle access, and there were no votes for the third alternative allowing for limited bicycle access. After the City Council considers the issue of bicycle access in the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve, the State Department of Fish and Game will evaluate the data and public input and will make a determination as to whether to continue the prohibition of bicycles in the Reserve. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW Jhis item is not subject to CEQA review. FISCAL IMPACT None. ADDITIONAL PUBLIC NOTIFICATION AND CORRESPONDENCE Additional notification sent to Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Bicycle Advisory Committee. RECOMMENDATION It is recommended that the City Council recommend to the State Department of Fish and Game that bicycle access be prohibited in the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. JlB:JDF:RlT Attachments: I - Bicycle Advisory Committee 2 - User Observation Study 3 - Wildlife Monitoring During the Bicycle Trial Period (c: \DATA\AGENOA\ lOl78SRP. COM) ITEM 4 ~CT 1 7 1995 5 of 69 BLUE SKY ECOLOGICAL RESERVE BICYCLE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Al Torretto Friends of Blue Sky K.C. Butler Bicycle Community Terry Callan Bicycle Community Patty Heyden Volunteer Bob Turner Volunteer Louise Fiorillo Public Agency Department of Fish and Game Doug Ruth Public Agency Parks & Recreation Department County of San Diego Robert Patton Public Agency Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Bob Thomas City of Poway Director of Community Services Jim Bentz City of Poway Community Services Manager Gene Lamke SDSU Department of Recreation, Parks & Tourism College of Professional Studies & Fine Arts San Diego State University Erick Burres Public Agency Department of Fish and Game Attachment 1 OCT 17 1995 11 EM 4 6 of'69 BLUE SKY ECOLOGICAL RESERVE USER OBSERVATION STUDY DURING BICYCLE TRIAL PERIOD LAWRENCE A. BECK GENE G. LAMKE Principal Investigators Department of Recreation, Parks and Tourism San Diego State University September 6, 1995 Attachment 2 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 7 of 69 I Acknowledgements Students enrolled in Recreation 485 - Outdoor Planning and Policy, and Recreation 570 _ Administration of Recreation Systems, did the lion's share of the work in making this study a reality. Their objectivity and dedicated hOUTS of data collection are the basis for everything that is included in this study's written report. As principal investigators, we are indebted to their willingness to learn outside of the classroom and their contributions to linking San Diego State University with the community in such a symbiotic relationship. The prinicipal investigators are also indebted to the Bicycle Advisory Committee and its members for their positive feedback throughout this study and their willingness to include the university and its expertise in their deliberations. Additionally, the principal investigators would like to personally thank: Ranger Robert Patton for his time in working with the entire study team and his patience with and guidance of students involved with the project. peTl? 1995 ITEM 4 .. 8 of 69 2 Table of Contents Acknowledgement ................................................................................................................ 1 Table of Contents .................................................................................................................2 Introduction ..... ................ ............. .............. ....... ................................................................... 3 Review of the Literature ........................................................................................................4 Methodology ........................................................................................................................ 7 Results ................................................................................................................................. 9 Table 1 - Length of Time of Data Observations....................................................................9 Table 2 - Data Collection Periods.......................................................................................10 Table 3 - Location of Data Collection................................................................................. 10 Table 4 - Number of Users............................................................................,....................11 Table 5 - Number of User Observations............................................................................. 12 Table 6 - Type and Number of Violations ..........................................................................13 Table 7 - All Non-Cyclists Vs. Cyclists Using Violations Per Observation........................ 14 Table 8 - Selected Non-Cyclists Vs. Cyclists Using Violations Per Observation ...............14 Graph I - Selected Non-Cyclists Vs. Cyclists Using Violations Per Observation.............. 15 Table 9 - Selected Non-Cyclists Vs. Cyclists Using Violations Per Observation By Month .......................................................................................................... 15 Graph 2 - Selected Non-Cyclists Vs. Cyclists Using Violations Per Observation By Month ......................................................................................................... 16 Table 10 - Chi Square Distribution for Selected Non-Cyclists Vs. Cyclists Based Upon Observations and Violations ........................................................16 Discussion.......................................................................................................................... 17 References .......................................................................................................................... 19 Appendices Appendix A - User Observation Form................................................................................20 Appendix B - Blue Sky Map and Collection Sites..............................................................23 Appendix C - Mountain Bicyclist Rules and General Rules for BSER ..............................25 tlCT 1 7 1995 ITEII4 I . 9 of 69 3 Introduction Cycling has become increasingly popular as a recreational activity in the past two decades. Spurred by the Olympics in Los Angeles and increased media coverage of the Tour de France, cycling has shown steady growth in overall numbers since the early 1980's. The fitness craze of the late 70's and early '80's also fueled the increase in cyclists in America and other industrialized countries. In the late 1970's and early 1980's, cycling enthusiasts who were looking for increased adventure in road cycling, took their bikes off -road into the mountains and hills. Mountain or off -road biking became a popular sport for those who wanted more beautiful surroundings for their daily rides, as well as a diversity of terrain to ride on. The bicycle equipment industry created new cycles with flat handlebars and fat tires to increase cycling enjoyri1ent on the trails and in the hills. The challenge of mountain biking including its physical demands attracted a significant population of enthusiasts (currently estimated between 2.5 and 3 million cyclists by the International Mountain Bicycling Association) who wanted increased access to trails and off-road sites. This demand for increased venues and access to trails on which to participate in their sport of choice created conflicts with other traditional users of mountain areas and trails. The Blue Sky Ecological Reserve which "onnects Lake Poway with the Ramona Dam by trails and the Green Valley Truck Trail, and serves the nearby community of Poway from Espola Road, is one of the areas where this conflict over usage has developed. The Blue Sky Ecological Reserve is jointly owned by the County of San Diego and the California State Department of Fish and Game. The area, located within the community of Poway, serves a large percentage of the City of Poway' s residents. The reserve encompasses 470 acres of public land set aside as a natural habitat for several threatened and rare plant and animal species. Mountain bike enthusiasts see it as a prime site for participating in their sport because of the diverse terrain and the connection that the Green Valley Truck Trail permits with other traqils not located in the reserve. Traditional users including hikers, dog walkers, joggers, youth groups, nature enthusiasts, and horseback riders also enjoy the area but believe that mountain cyclists will significantly detract from their satisfactory use of the area. In December of 1994, the City of . Poway and the California State Department of Fish and Game entered into an agreement for a six {leT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 10 of 69 - 4 month trial period for bicycle access in order to study the multiple use of the Green Valley Truck Trail in the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve by traditional users and mountain bike enthusiasts. To facilitate the analysis of this trial period by both sets of users, an advisory committee was established and two separate studies were commissioned to measure the impacts of the users on the reserve and also their behavior while using the area. The primary purpose of this study was to examine the adherence of mountain cyclists to rules established for usage of the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve by the Advisory Committee. In general, traditional users have complained about the failure of cyclists to adhere to established regulations regarding usage of trails and the creation of conflicts among users of the same trails. Common complaints against mountain cyclists are grouped into three general categories: user safety, natural resource protection, and quality user experiences. The secondary purposes of this study were to compare data between cyclists and non-cyclists relative to rule adherence, to determine if significant differences existed between user groups relative to rule adherence, and to collect descriptive data about user populations. The remainder of this study is organized into a section reviewing some of the available literature related to mountain bike use of outdoor areas, a description of the methodology utilized in this study, a presentation of the results of the study, and a discussion of the results of the study with recommendations for future studies. Review of the Literature The development of the sport of mountain biking has created the opportunity for authors and researchers to write and publish a variety of articles and studies about mountain biking. Given the purpose of this study, this review will focus on publications related to user conflicts associated with mountain bike usage of outdoor trails, management strategies associated with multiple users of outdoor trails, and articles and newsletters associated with mountain bike use of outdoor areas. The sport of mountain biking is relatively young, and, therefore, an abundance of literature about mountain biking is clearly lacking. There does exist though several publications supporting the growth and development of the mountain biking movement, as well as several studies about usage and user conflicts. ,., 'OCT 17 1995 ITEM 1+ ... 11 of 69 5 The International Mountain Bicycling Association (lMBA) "promotes mountain cycling opportunities through environmentally and socially responsible use of the land." The association continues to promote responsible riding through education and fosters cooperative relationships with all users of all trail types. At the core of the IMBA is a grassroots network of individual members, clubs, retailers, land managers, and manufacturers of bicycle equipment. The IMBA publishes a newsletter and an annual report. The 1994 Annual Report (lMBA, 1995) included an article on model advocacy programs. This article described such programs as a low impact mountain cyclist program that centered around use of extensive trail work, hang tags, and innovative management solutions to problems involving cyclists; the development of a single track in a National Park Service Unit; the work of a recreation officer for the U.S. Forest Service to keep trails open to all until every reasonable alternative had been explored; and the work of a retailer to fund a project titled the IMBA-Sierra Club Mediation Project. The latter project includes a variety of action initiatives, one of which focuses on local assistance to employ conflict resolution processes to help resolve local trail disputes. Blumenthal (1995), Executive Director of the IMBA, in a paper entitled "Continental Divide National Scenic Trail Summit User Conflict Resolution," detailed three common approaches to reducing trail user conflicts: 1) trail user education, 2) designating specific trails for particular uses, and 3) restricting or eliminating the use of a particular group. Blumenthal urged the use of the first two approaches as opposed to the third in almost every instance, although he notes that the third approach seems to be the preference of most land managers. This paper did an excellent job of reviewing strategies to eliminate conflicts among trail users. A national study conducted by Chavez (1995) examined issues related to mountain bike use in national forests throughout the United States. This study reviewed levels of activity, management plans, and management issues such as user conflicts, resource damage, and safety concerns. This study identified that the greatest percentage of user conflicts existed between equestrian groups and mountain bikers (41 percent) or between mountain bikers and hikers (31 percent). Included in this study were several methods utilized by managers to reduce conflicts, some of which were the PCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 . 12 of 69 - 6 provision of information to users, the separation of user groups, the stressing of user ethics. .., changing trails to meet needs of user groups, discontinuing the allocation of permits for events to user groups, and law enforcement. Local associations also publish materials to encourage safe and courteous use of trails by mountain cyclists. The San Diego Mountain Biking Association (SDBMA) publishes a newsletter which advocates sound trail tactics. SDMBA's (1995) May newsletter contained an article which described instances of horses and bikes meeting on the trail. The article detailed important horse sense that every mountain biker should know and utilize for safe trail encounters. Padilla and Loheit (1995) published a course syllabus on basic trail maintenance which included a succinct unit on trail assessment This syllabus included a detailed discussion of possible maintenance conditions to look for when assessing the need for work in an area. The syllabus also included units on trail safety during maintenance and trail volunteers. Probably the most dermitive synthesis of literature and research on trail usage and conflicts was produced by the Federal Highway Administration at the request of the National Recreational Trails Advisory Committee. Moore's (1994) technical report included an analysis of 102 articles, reports and research studies on multiple-use trails and conflicts among users. The synthesis is extremely complete and based sufficiently on research findings. Probably the most noteworthy information in the report relative to this study deals with "the environmental and social impacts of outdoor recreation in general" and the development of principles to deal with impacts and conflicts. Three of the most important principles identified were I) tolerance to impacts vary. 2) impacts are activity specific, and 3) impacts are site specific. The IMBA (1995) has published a collection of Mountain Bike Success Stories. This collection summarizes the efforts of the IMBA and local clubs to insure that trails remain open to mountain bikers and that the mountain bike community is active in maintaining trails and promoting adherence to proper standards of conduct in using trails with other users groups. Much of this 'OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 ... 13 of 69 7 collection is devoted to promotion and educational materials which can be used to promote adequate co-use of trails by a variety of user groups which includes mountain bikers. In summary, a somewhat limited but useful collection of literature existed about mountain biking and trail use in America A sufficient number of research studies and papers existed to identify the potential conflicts that currently exist between users and the methodologies which can be utilized to reduce such conflicts. For the purposes of this study, information existed which supports the type of data to be collected and analyzed and the selected analysis techniques. Meth~ology The purpose of this study was to analyze the adherence of mountain bike users to the rules and regulations established by the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Bicycle Advisory Committee for use of the Green Valley Truck Trail by mountain bikers during the course of a six month study period. To facilitate the collection of data pertinent to the study's purpose, the principal investigators met with the Advisory Committee to delimit the study and structure the investigation methods. The primary question the committee wished answered was "can the mountain bike users follow the rules established in using the area's resources?" Upon completion of the initial meeting with the committee, the investigators modified a "User Observation Form" prepared by Doug Ruth of the committee, for review by the committee. Upon review by the Advisory Committee, the form was again modified to its final version (see Appendix A). The form was duplicated for distribution to the data collectors. Data collection was the next area to be addressed. The investigators chose to use students in two classes of the Department of Recreation, Parks and Tourism at San Diego State University as data collectors. Students enrolled in Recreation 485 - Outdoor Recreation Planning and Policy, and Recreation 570 - Administration of Recreation Systems were assigned responsibilities for user observations at the site. Each student in the classes (16 in Recreation 485 and 21 in Recreation 570) was responsible for completing three, three hour observations (nine hours total) at the Blue OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 II" 14 of 69 - 8 Sky site. Students selected times for their observations from a calendar which identified randomly selected slots during the study period. Students signed up in pairs on the calendar to facilitate transportation to the site but were assigned different collection points within the reserve. Due to the use of students for data collection in the study, the study period began the first weekend of March (March 4) and concluded with the last weekend in May (May 28). Students were instructed on use of the "User Observation Form" on two separate occasions in each class. The second training session on the usage of the form included a video tape of the area and discussion of the positioning of students at the various sign posts for data collection (see Map in Appendix B). Data collectors were instructed to record the date. time, location. and weather conditions at the time of data collection. Collectors were told to identify the type of user observed by writing the number in each observed group in the appropriate space for type and number of user. If user behavior violated the established rules of conduct (see Appendix C) for that user type, collectors noted the behavior and the user(s) involved. Space was included on the form for a description of the user behavior. Questions related to data collection were answered during class by the principal investigators as they arose from the students for future data collection. Data collection ethics were discussed by the investigators to enhance accurate collection of data by the students. Students were credited with points toward their rmal grade in each class as a technique for motivating students to fulfill their data collection time assignments. Some rainouts occurred for data collectors early in the study period and those individuals were reassigned times based on random selection of additional collection periods. Rainouts that occurred in the last two weeks of the study were canceled and no additional time periods were assigned. Upon completion of the data collection, the data was categorized and coded for input into a Macintosh computer utilizing a Microsoft Office and Excel software programs. The data was then analyzed with calculations resulting in total numbers for various categories and their corresponding percentages. The data was analyzed for two categories using the Chi Square statistic to measure significance of difference. The .05 level of confidence was selected as the measure of significance - for this test. neT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 ";101 15 of 69 9 Results Data collectors submitted 109 "User Observation Forms" related to this study. Of the 109 forms submitted, 100 of the forms contained usable data for this study. The nine forms that were not utilized contained no data because of rainouts. Of the 100 usable forms, 89 forms contained data from three hour blocks of time while the remaining 11 forms contained data collected from time periods ranging from one hour and thirty minutes to three hours and thirty minutes. The total amount of data observation time totaled 295 hours. Table 1 summarizes the length of time for data observations. Table 1 Length 01 Time 01 Data Observations Amount or Time Number or Observations 1 hour 30 minutes 1 2 hours 15 minutes 3 2 hours 30 minutes 3 2 hours 45 minutes 2 3 hours 89 3 hours 15 minutes 1 3 hours 30 minutes TOTAL Table 2 summarizes the data collection periods related to time of the day and day of the week. Fifty-seven percent of the data collection was done on the weekend and 53 percent of the data collection occurred during the late afternoon hours (after 2:30 p.m.). neT 17 1995 ITEM 4 16 of 69 10 Table 2 Data Collection Periods Day of Week AM AM-PM Early PM Late PM Total Monday 4 0 I 3 1 Tuesday 0 0 0 7 7 Wednesday 0 0 I 8 , 9 Thursday 0 2 0 7 Ie '... '9 Friday 1 0 0 9 i''^ - ti' '10 Saturday 7 1 14 9 h:":3t 7 8 .. 26 Sunday 1 10 """l9", ..~~~C ,;!~)~; '1 "c.^, ,", 1"-, '" :'., , TOTAL / ,24',., ,': . ,'5:5 100 AM = Data collection began and ended in the morning hours. AM-PM = Data collection began in the morning and extend into the early afternoon. Early PM = Data collection occurred in the afternoon and began before 2:,00 p.m. Late PM = Data collection occurred entirely after 2:30 p.m. .- Table 3 summarizes the location of the data collection within the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. The map in Appendix B identifies the location of posts in the reserve where the data was collected. The majority of data was collected at sign post 3 within the reserve (33 percent). Seventy percent of the data was collected at or between sign posts 3 and 4. Table 3 Location of Data Collection Location Number of ODServatiODS Percent of ObservatioDS Entrance 2 .2 Post 1 7 7 - Post 2 9 '9"',.. :j; ..,..,,"- -..,..,- . 1 " Between Posts 2 & 3 1 Post 3 33 Between Posts 3 &4 8 Post 4 29 ,. Roving Observations ','..' ,...:~.~."..,.".. t,...;..,....---.".....,.-,;,.,-......-,.:.: .~ """''':$- TOTAL "" '..::"''"':''1:t~#~~~ < ".. .b.~~~:":.;:-:-;::~,..,'~~~ tler 17 1995 ITEII 4 ", ... 17 of 69 _._~..._---+._- ------ --~-------- II Table 4 contains the data relative to total number of users in each user category. It identifies the total of all users observed during the course of this study and recorded on the forms. Table 4 Number or Users Type or User Number or Users Percent or Users Hikers 1851 ""', "'511' 9 __fi"". .... Dog Walkers 352 Joggers 265 Interpretive Program Participants 248 Bicyclists 592 17:5 Equestrians 2S '611 , CarsIV ans 4 - Pick-up Trucks 23 Heavy TrucksITraclOrs 7 Other 7 '6;;1' TOTAL 3374 too Table 5 identifies the total of observations recorded by the data coUectors in this study. For example, three hikers wa1lcing together would have been recorded as the number three on the "User Observation Form," but would have been identified as a single observation (sighting occurrence) on the form. Likewise, a group of five cyclists riding together in the study area would have been recorded as the number 5 on the form but listed as a single observation on the form. If a group of two dog walkers were wa1lcing one dog who was off his leash, this group would be identified as a number 2 on the form but represent only one observation. Additionally, since dogs must be on a leash in the reserve, this would have been identified as a violation. Is this one violation for each person in the group of two (hence, two total violations), or one violation for the single observation? Both numbers were recorded and are presented in this study. Since the data collectors recorded violations with a specific reference to the observation and not specifically to each number in a group tlCT17 1995 ITEM 4 "'i- 18 of 69 -- 12 who actually were committing violations. the violations were singularly tabulated and, therefore, the best data to utilize when comparing violations is the number of observations, not total number of users within a category" Thus, the information in Table 5 should be considered more valid than the information presented in Table 4 and should be the main comparative statistic when dealing with violations. Table 5 Number of Observations Type of User Number of Observations Percent of Observations Hikers Dog Walkers Joggers Interpretive Program Participants Bicyclists Equestrians CarsIV ans Pick-up Trucks Heavy TrucksfI'ractors Other TOTAL Table 6 shows the type and number of violations recorded by users in the reserve. It also includes the percentage that each number represents of the total violations observed. OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 11';'" 19 of 69 --- ------.------ 13 Table 6 Type and Number of Violations Type of Violation Number Observed Percent of Violations BikelDog 1 0.8 Bike Off-Trail 7 5.5 Bike Speed 40 31.5 , , Bike Time 25 ... .. '19:7 Bike Vandalism 1 "~ . iOS1J Co ,', ~"'" Bike Yield 8 -'. '63 ,I;;"~:' Bike Questionnable Use II '.., '8:7 .' Equestrian Dog 1 , .' , 0;8 PedestrianlDog 26 ,,' 20.5 Pedestrian Off-Trail 3 ~.; 2.4 k F Pedestrian Vanda1ism 2 Ui , Vehicle Off-Trail I , '0:8 '. .. Vehicle Speed 1 ' , " ,.iO.!8 - '. .' TOTAL n7 100.'2 KEY BikelDog - bicyclist with unleashed dog. Bike Off-Trail - bicycle operation on trail other than those trails allowed. Bike Speed - bicycle speed in excess of 10 m.p.h. Bike Time - bicycle operation during a time when the reserve was closed to bicycle operation. Bike Vandalism - bicyclist deliberately causing damage to the reserve. Bike Yield - failure of a bicyclist to slow down and permit other users the right-of-way. Bike Questionnable Use - bicycle operation in the reserve when rainy conditions caused closure. EquestrianlDog - horseback rider with unleashed dog. PedestrianlDog - dog walker with unleashed dog. Pedestrian Off-Trail - hiker or dog walker off trails in the reserve. Pedestrian Vandalism - hiker, dog walker or jogger deliberately causing damage to the reserve. Vehicle Off-Trail - unauthorized vehicles off trails designated for vehicular use. Vehicle Speed - vehicles traveling faster than safety permits in the reserve. ITEM 4 .... neT 17 1995 20 of 69 -- .- 14 Table 7 shows the total number of users for combined user groups (all non-cyclists versus cyclists), number of violations, and violations per observation among these user groups. Included in the total for the violations is questionable use of the reserve when the grounds were too wet for bicycle usage. Signs were posted indicating that the reserve was closed to bicycles but II such violations were included in this total for this table. Table 7 All Non-Cyclists Versus Cyclists Observations and Violations Type of User Number of Observations Number of VIolations Violations Per Observation Non-Cyclists 1478 34 .. .023 Cyclists 397 93 .234 , .'., ""~~'.'''' """ ... ''Y''';:'":,, TOTAL 'lr875, '., .on Table 8 shows the total of observations for the selected combined user groups (non-cyclists contains hikers, dog walkers and joggers), number of violations and violations per observation among these user groups. The violations for use of the reserve when closed due to weather were dropped from totals for the cyclists in this table. Graph 1 utilizes the information in Table 8 to illustrate the relationship between violations per observation of the selected non-cyclists and cyclists groups. Table 8 Selected Non-Cyclists Versus Cyclists Observations and Violations Type of User Number of ObservatloDS NUmber of VlolatloDS VlolatioDS Per Observation Non-Cyclists 1394 31 Ji22'<' , ~ .. . . . _' - d"-.: ~" . ......... . ,,-. - Cyclists 397 82 ''z/iJj;;~; ."'-,- ""Il',_:' ,:,.,.""'t:$.;;!ilr':';;'-':~-f.l:;t.~.:A".. :.-,-:.;, _: ':_'-"-~"::: , :4 '~"'. ..^" "'11'7Sl. -~~,- "',>~m':;::::." ""~$'t~'''''''~' , TOTAL "":';.. ", :-~" ..... ~'F.tr-:;~~,:::;:{ .:. '."",i1?i~<"i{-::,-; tlCr 17 1995 ITEM 4 ... 21 of 69 15 Graph 1 Selected Non-Cyclists Versus Cyclists U sing Violations Per Observation 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00"10 I Non-Cyclists 5.00"/0 . Cyclists 0.00"10 Violations Per Observation Table 9 breaks down the information in the previous table and graph according to the month in which the observations and violations were recorded. The rationale for including this data as both a . table and Graph 2 is to analyze any trends with regards to violations per observation during the study period. The graph allows the reader to visually see the relationship between the numbers and any trends which may exist. Table 9 Selected Non-CycUsts Versus CycUsts Violations Per Observation By Month March April Ma Type of User DB VIO VIO/OB DB VIO VIO/OB DB VIO VIO/OB Non-Cyclists 295 14 .0475 681 10 .0147 419 7 .0167 Cyclists 76 16 .2105 217 35 .1613 104 31 .2981 TOTAL 371 30 .0809 898 45 .0501 523 38 .0727 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEU4 ,... 22 of 69 - 16 Graph 2 Selected Non-Cyclists Versus Cyclists Violations Per Observation By Month 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% . Non-Cyclists 15.00% . Cyclists 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% March April May Table 10 is the Chi Square distribution for the comparison of the selected non-cyclist group and the cyclists utilizing number of observations and number of violations as the key data. Given the . observed distribution of data and comparing it with the expected theoretical frequencies yields a chi square of 143.639 which is well beyond 3.841 necessary for significance of difference at the .05 level of confidence. Table 10 Chi Square Distribution Selected Non-Cyclists Versus Cyclists Based Upon Number of Observations and Number of Violations Type of Users Number of Observations Number of Violations TOTAL Selected Non-Cyclists 1394 (1340.4) 31 (84.6) 1425 Cyclists 397 (450.6) 82 (28.4) 479 TOTAL 1791 113 "~..i; ..1904 ( ) - Denotes Theoretical Frequencies [what normally should have occurred] Degrees of Freedom = I Chi Square = 143.639 (this is significant beyond the .05 level of confidence for dJ I) n~ 4 ," :OCT 1 7 1995 23 of 69 17 Discussion The total number of users, observations, and violations in this study may appear higher than those reported in anecdotal evidence collected in the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve, but this is due to the dual collection of data during observation periods at different locations in the reserve. Study reviewers should also realize that this occurs for all types of users and should not focus so much on the absolute numbers but, rather, the comparison of the numbers between the user groups. Additionally, study reviewers should ascertain which groupings of users best represents the data to be compared. The principal investigators believe that the use of pedestrians in informal gourps (hikers, dog walkers and joggers) are the best overall grouping to compare with the mountain bicyclists. The rationale underlying this formation of comparison groups is simple - vehicular users or equestrian users are significantly different from people afoot in the reserve. Likewise, although interpretive program participants are afoot, they are under the control of group leadership and, therefore, are primarily subject to the controls of the person in charge and are less likely to break the rules. Hence, pedestrians (hikers, dog walkers and joggers) and cyclists are the most logical groupings to compare. The principal investigators also encourage the use of data identified as observations as opposed to total numbers of users. The reason for this is that when data collectors identified violations for groups, they omitted in most instances whether all of the group were in violation of the rules, or just a portion or a single member of the group. Therefore, observation data and observed violations probably comes closer to the reality of what occurred when it was observed and recorded. With reference to the results, a substantial difference exists between the numbers of violations that occurred per observation in the non-cyclist and cyclist groups. The extraordinarily high chi square value resulting from the data in Table 10 substantiates the difference at a very high level of confidence. Table 6 demonstrates the type of violations that have occurred with speed representing nearly half of the violations for cyclists while bicycle time (prohibited during certain times of operations) represents another 2S percent of the violations. Readers should note that no out-of-the- ordinary time prohibitions existed for the other user groups which should probably be taken into account when reviewing this comparison. OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 ,104 24 of 59 - 18 Also of interest to the reader should be graphs 1 and 2 which graphically summarize the data observations and violations. Graph I depicts a compariosn of violations per observation and shows a large difference between the non-cyclists and cyclists. This graph suggests that out of 100 observed users in each group, non-cyclists will have approximately two to three violations while cyclists will have 20 violations. Table 9 shows a comparison of data for observations and violations on a monthly basis for the three months of the study period. Graph 2 shows the relationship of violations per observation on a monthly basis. It should be noted that the bicyclists had fewer violations per observation during April than they did in March, but that number increased substantially in May to a level much higher than existed in March. In attempting to decide whether these results should substantiate the exclusion or inclusion of mountain bicyclists in the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve, one must ask some very important questions. First, can additiOllal educational efforts bring increased compliance with the established rules of use in the Reserve? Secondly, are mountain cyclists compatible with the overall goals of the Reserve? Third, will the mountain bicycle patrol continue its efforts to maintain adherence to the rules of the Reserve for cyclists? Fourth, what are the additional impacts of mountain bicycle use on the resources of the reserve? Fifth, can all current user groups achieve a high quality experience from the Reserve given a continuation of inclusionary practices? Sixth, can user safety be insured if mountain cyclists are pennitted to use the Reserve without rule enforcement? And lastly, have all other management strategies been exhausted to resolve user conflicts that make restriction or elimination the rmal solution? If future studies of this nature are undertaken, the following recommendations are offered to improve the results. One, engage data collectors in training sessions at the site. Technology provides the ability to bring the site to the classroom. but a thorough examination of the site is desirable to simulate problems and identify issues related to data collection. Second, extend the data collection time period so that the maximum amount of data can be collected for analysis. This OCT 17 1995 ITEM 4 " 25 of 69 19 should bolster the results and, therefore, improve the recommendations emanating from the data collected. And rmally, input the data into the computer as it has been collected rather than waiting until all of the data has been collected before input and analysis has been conducted. This recommendation has a two-fold purpose. One, to improve the collection of data throughout the study. And two, to speed the ability to analyze the data and complete the writing of the final report in a more timely manner. Given the limitations of the study which included the use of students for data collection without the direct supervision, the unpredictability of the weather during data collection, and the doubling of data collection during the same time periods, the results provide ample evidence of user behavior to aid the Bicycle Advisory Committee in making recommendations about bicycle usage in the Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. References Blumenthal, T. (April,I995) Continental Divide National Scenic Trail Summit User Cooflict Resolution. Boulder, CO: IMBA. Chavez, D. (1995) Mountain bike use in our National Forests: A management perspective. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Forest Service. International Mountain Bicycling Association. (February, 1995) IMBA annual report: A special edition of the IMBA Trail News. Boulder, CO: IMBA, vol. 8, no. I. International Mountain Bicycling Association. (1995) Mountain Bike Success Stories. Boulder, CO: IMBA. Padilla, F., Jr. and Loheit, K. (1995) Introduction to basic trail maioteoance: A course syllabus. Boulder, CO: IMBA. San Diego Mountain Bicycling Association. (May, 1995) S.D.M.B.A. Newsletter. San Diego, CA: San Diego Mountain Biking Association, vol. 2. Smith, G.M. (1962) A Simplified Guide To Statistics. New York: Holt, Rinehart, and Winston, Inc. ,_. ner 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 .". 26 of 69 . - 20 Appendix A USER OBSERVATION FORM 'OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 'I'" 27 of 69 ~-_.- 21 Appendix A I1SRR OBSERVATION FORM Bicycle Trial Period Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Date: Time: Location: Weatber Conditions: Cloud Cover (circle one): Heavy Medium Light Clear Precipitation (circle one): Heavy Medium Light Clear Type and Number of User: Hiker _LLLL.L.L..J~~_j_L,LJ~~._LL,LJ~~~~~__LLL..J_ Dog WaJJcer~~~~~~~~_/~~_Jogger~~~~~~~~~~~~_ Interpretive Program Participant ---1---1__1.._L_...1---1---1---1---1__..L....1 ---1---1---1_ Bicyclist~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~_ Equestrian~~~~~~~~_ CarNan ~~~~_ Pickup Truck ~~~~~_ Heavy TTUck{fractor~~~~_ Other (describe): I I I I User Bebavior: (respond as appropriate) Legal TuneIOpen Hours? On Designated Trail? Speed, at or below 10 m.p.h.? Speed, slower when passing others? Courteous/considerate of other users? User Conflict (describe all incidents): . OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 ,.. 28 of 69 . - 22 User Conflicts continued (describe all incidents): Observer. Name (print): Telepbone#: Signature: OCT 1 7 1995 fTEII 4 Ii. 29 of 69 -_.__._~- 23 ~ Appendix B BLUE SKY ECOLOGICAL RESERVE MAP INCLUDING DATA COLLECTION SITES 30 of 69 Dell? ~ ITEM 4 *i" - - I 24 ....., , --~ , "- I .... "- - , .... - ....;-0..,;;....,-; I - I - , I r' J ~---,-- \: , ""'" ,: , " " ' . . I ' . . I 1 ." ' 1 . ;.. l...... .,'\ ........... "I , .' ..' '.' ....... .\ " ..... ~ ' r- ~\ (.\ "'je I \. ~ ~~\: ~ I el ~ -- ~.' r ~'5 ~ ~ I ~ :~....~...... ~ ~ ~ fS en: '\ ~ I ~- : J . ~ '\1;_ - . r....~ .. - .. ts~~ ~ :, -: __- I' J i ~~~ :' '" ~ -,,- ' 'il \ "'~ ~ k i &i I ~. #r:' , ;i ,,,,,,"\.-.f '. ~ if ~ "'~ !I \ I (l' [:la<3 ~ ' . 1/# .. I ,~.: \......... J ,,\/ \-- If) Jrf \ ~ " r- ''f V' : ~~ m ~ I III' .. ~ I ,~~ .'" · ..' .~ . .; ~ .. > ~~ . G; as:' .. .. -. . . ~ \ , L.--"l.\\ " , iO , '- ., u . I I) I~~ "6> --'- 0 --' '0 L- - d ~~ u w > (- .. ! VI , " ! ' ~ ::> fj' . ~. iii " .i (tr = .""" .. - ~ ~ ~ 0 ,a~;1 ~ 0 0. ill 11 j' '. ' · B .. ::!: 1 ..0 .. ~ ~ 0 . ...._." I ,,~ .. ~ . . Ie" co - . ~O I ~>> · ~ .. .. . " ~ III.! = _ >o~c: k: :; 1 ii=" · co o~o. 0 0> . I ..>..~ . c: ~o l- i.: -- . > ' ~ . . - . . .] , ~cl- e_.a.:. .... - . I ". co '" ~_..".... 0 ~ ~ ..,,>>.!:: :0.:;". - . . ...=:!i=~ ~OO..J~ a:~u:r(t)- 31 of 69 _ (J _Nt').. ." I II ;I ~ · · · - ~ : ' -.-- _~ I \ ~ !; em Il95 ITEIr4 >,.. --",,-- , - - - - 25 Appendix C MOUNTAIN BICYCLIST RULES AND GENERAL RULES FOR BLUE SKY ECOLOGICAL RESERVE OCT 17 1995 ITEM 4'1'" 32 of 59 26 WelcOIDe to BLUE SKY ECOLOGICAL RESERVE California Department of Fish and Game County of San Diego Parks Department City of poway Friends of Blue Sky Canyon Whatever your reasons for, visiting, please remember that this area exists first to provide a sanctuary for wildlife and to protect critical habitat. The public can also enjoy recreational use of the area as long as visitors remain sensitive and thoughtful. Please make time to read and follow the posted regulations. They exist to protect a fragile resource and to protect you from dangers inherent in such natural areas, not to inhibit your enjoyment. GENERAL REGULATIONS - Trails are open from sunrise to sunset, except during authorized, guided evening hikes. . - Stay on designated trails. - Bicycles and horses are prohibited, except on the Green Valley Truck Trail (main designated access road between Espcla Rd. and I.ake Ramona and the Lake poway Campground) during a six-month trial period from Feb. to July 1995. - Keep your pet on a leash. - Do not disturb or collect plants, animals, archaeological or geological objects, or disturb signs or structures. - Camping and fires are prohibited, except at the adjacent Lake Poway Campground by permit only. - Do not attempt to feed wild animals. - Releasing wild or domestic animals or plants is prohibited. - Firearms, hunting equipment, fireworks, or paintball guns are prohibited. - Motor vehicles are prohibited except for authorized maintenance or emergency vehicles on designated access roads. neT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 .... 33 of 69 - - --------..--- 27 BICYCLISTS - Bicycles are permitted on the Green Valley Truck Trail only (main designated access road from Espola Rd. to Lake Ramona and Lake Poway Campground) for a six-month trial period Feb. to July 1995. - The Reserve is closed to bicycles all-day Fridays and until noon on Saturdays. - Speed limit is 10 m.p.h. Slow to 5 m.p.h. or dismount when encountering hikers or horses. - Yield to hikers and horses. - Be alert and courteous. Warn others of your approach but keep noise dOw"Il so as not to disturb wildlife or those watchi!!.g wildlife. - Ride single-file when passing or being passed. - Stay or.. the trail and maintain traction. Skidding can damage the trail and accelerate erosion. - Do not ride on the trail when it is muddy. Tire ruts can be hazardous to other trail users and accelerate erosion. - Helmets are recommended. EQUESTRIANS - Horses are permitted on the Green Valley Truck Trail only (main designated access road from Espola Rd. to Lake Ramona and Lake poway Campground). - Travel at a safe speed and slow to a walk when approaching or passing other trail users or blind curves. - Do not ride on the trail when it is muddy. The trail may be slippery and hoof ruts are hazardous to 'other trail users and accelerate erosion. - Grazing is prohibited. - Helmets are recommended. OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 " 34 of 69 28 GENERAL RECOMMENDATIONS for multiple-use trails. - Stay on trails and keep pets leashed. Da.ngers inherent in natural areas such as this include poison oak, leose rocks, ticks, rattlesnakes, skunks, coyotes, and mountain lions. - Be courteous. Be respectful of other trail users, regardless of their mode, speed, or level of skill. - Be predictable. Travel in a consistent and predictable manner and let others know before passing or changing position on the trail. - Do not block the trail. Use no more than half the trai l, whether alone, in a group, or with a pet. - Keep right. Stay as near to the right side of the trail as is safe, except when passing. - PaB. on the left. Look ahead and behind before passing and give the other user plenty of room. - Slower traffic baa the right-Of-way. Yield to slower or on- coming traffic. Hikers and bicyclists yield to horses, and biCYClists yield to bikers. -Keep the trail clean. Remove all that you bring in with you. OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 ~ 35 of 69 29 c90 ATTENTION MOUNTAIN BIKERS OUR FUTURE ACCESS TO BLUE SKY ECOLOGICAL RESERVE DEPENDS ON YOUR RESPONSIBLE BEHAVIOR AND ADHERENCE TO THE FOLLOWING GUIDELINES: - RIDE ON MAIN ROADS ONLY: Green Valley Truck Trail from Espola Rd. to Lake Ramona and Lake Poway access road. Olf-road bike use is prohibited. - Speed limit is 10 m.p.... (5 m.p.h. when passing hikers and equestrians). - Yield to hikers and equestrians. - Be alert and courteous. Warn others of your approach. - Reserve is closed to bicycles all day Fridays and unW noon OD Saturdays. Bikes allowed all other days sunrise to sunset. Bicycle access has been approved for a six-month trial period from February 1 to July 3D, 1995. For questions or comments, call the Reserve office at 486-7238. BLUE SKY ECOLOGICAL RESERVE CAliforniA DellArtment of Fish ond Gome County of Son Diego Parks Deportment Cily of PO".AY Friends of Blue Sky Conyon OCT 17 '995 ITEM 4 .In 36 of 69 - - Wildlife Monitoring " During the Bicycle Trial Period at Blue Sky Ecological Reserve February to July 1995 Draft Report to the Bicycle Advisory Committee California Department of Fish & Game County of San Diego Department of Parks & Recreation City of Poway Department of Community Services Friends of Blue Sky Canyon by Robert Patton, Supervising Park Ranger Blue Sky Ecological Reserve 6 September 1995 - Attachment 3 37 of 69 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ ....j 104 Abstract Wildlife and human activity was documented at four stations along the Green Valley Truck Trail (GVTT) during a six-month period through weekly paired samples. One sampling was conducted on Saturday when bicycles were not to be present and the second on Sunday with bicycles present. Following the trial period, the data for each sampling period were compared to detect if there were any differences in the number of wildlife sightings (wildlife view-ability), ,. wildlife abundance, species diversity, wildlife behavior, or distance from the GVTT relative to the presence or absence of bicycles. Several sampling periods were not completed due to weather, illness, or schedule conflicts. Of the 19 Saturday samples when bicycles were to be excluded, only eight recorded no bicycles during the monitoring period, and seven Saturdays had from five to 16 bicycles present during the two-hour monitoring period. Thus, Saturday was invalidated as an experimental control. Of the 18 Sunday samples when bicycles were to be present, there were two sample days when no bikes were present, due to heavy rain. There were from seven to 31 bicycles present on the remaining Sunday mornings. Overall, this yields an average of eight bicycles per monitoring period (sample size 37 days). There was an average of 12 bicycles per morning when bicycles were present (if days without bicycles are excluded, sample size of 27 days). Comparing Saturday and Sunday observations, the average number of species observed decreased slightly on Sunday, as did the average number of sightings, but the average number of animals was slightly higher. No clear conclusions can be drawn from behavioral or distance data. However, if observation periods were separated not by day of week, but by presence or absence of bicycles, the percentage difference between the average number of species observed, average number of sightings, and average number of animals was more pronounced. Average speeies diversity decreased by 17 %, animal abundance by 16 %, and number of sightings by 20% when bicycles were present. This is also reflected if comparisons are made between periods of low bicycle usage (four or fewer bikes, that is, an average of one per station) and high bicycle usage (five or more bikes during the monitoring period). Species diversity decreased 22 %, abundance by 9%, and number of sightings by 12% during periods of high bicycle usage. Elimination of extreme high and low sample values from the dataset yielded even more pronounced results, with species diversity, abundance, and number of sightings decreasing. significantly when bicycles were present. This indicates that the presence of bicycles had a negative impact on the presence, abundance, and diversity of vertebrate wildlife viewable from the GVTT. !leT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 .. 38 of 69 ---..-. "- Acknowledgements Fieldwork and data collection was coordinated by Alan Torretto. Monitoring was conducted by the coordinator, Robert Haase, Robert Turner, Nancy Frost, Claude Edwards, Marsha Hanson, Patty Heyden, Freeman and Worth Hall. and Ian Berhorst. Data were entered to computer files by Cheryl Wahlin. Data sorting, analysis, and graphics were completed by David Stanton, with assistance in data standardization and proof-reading by Anna Gateley-Stanton. ;" .- OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 '"l 39 of 69 List of Figures and Tables Figure - 1. Map of Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. 2. Numbers of bicycles by date. 3. Averages of observations by day and usage. 4. Numbers of bicycles x numbers of species. Table 1. Concerns about impacts from bicycle use of Green Valley Truck Trail. 2. Bicycle regulations during trial period. 3. Data categories collected. 4. Weather conditions. 5. Reserve usage. 6. Averages of observations by day and usage - pedestrian. 7. Averages of observations by day and usage - dog. 8. ,Summary of observations by day. 9. Averages of observations by day and usage - bicycle. 10. Averages of observations by stations. 11. Modified averages of observations. 12. Species observed. 13. Animal behavior observed. 14. Averages of observations of animal behavior and distance. 15. Averages of observations by observer and day. OCT 17 1995 ITEM 4 ~ 40 of 69 -- Study Site and Background Blue Skl' Ecological ~eserve is located on the northwestern slopes of Mt. Woodson, in the northeastern portion of the City of Poway. The Reserve consists of an approximately 583-acre canyon, including an approximately 20-acre inholding in the east-central Reserve, containing ,. pump and storage facilities of the Ramona Water District (RWD). The original 475 acres were purchased by the State of California and County of San Diego in 1989, with support from the City of Poway. Peripheral parcels and inholdings have been purchased as recently as 1994. Landuse prior to acquisition consisted of low-density cattle grazing on native vegetation open space with residence, pens, and outbuildings at the east end of the canyon. The property was prioritized for acquisition due to high quality habitats of species and natural communities that have been reduced by over 80 percent in Southern California. The canyon slopes are comprised of sage scrub and chaparral, with coast live oak and riparian woodlands along the drainages. These plant communities are home to several obligate resident species on the endangered species list or considered as candidates for listing. The dirt-surfaced Green Valley Truck Trail (GVTT) runs the length of the Reserve, from the_main western trailhead at Espola Road to the northeast approximately three miles to Lake Ramona (Figure 1). This maintenance road is gated and closed to public vehicular traffic, and posted with Reserve regulations at both ends. Additional maintenance roads continue along the canyon bottom to the RWD inholding. and turn off to the south midway through the Reserve to access the Lake Poway campground and connect with city-maintained multi-use trails around the lake and Mt. Woodson. A gated and posted maintenance easement along an underground water line runs parallel to, and south of, the GVTT, from Espola Road to the RWD facilities. Due to topography, surface, and exposure, it receives much less use than the Gvrr and public use is discouraged due to nesting by federally threatened California Gnatcatchers and the presence of several candidate species, including San Diego horned lizards and orange-throated whiptails. Blue Sky Ecological Reserve is managed by the California Departtneflt of Fish & Game (DFG) and County of San Diego Parks Department with support from the City of Poway and I OeT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 t, 41 of 69 non-profit Friends of Blue Sky Canyon. A volunteer naturalist program has been established to conduct environmental education programs, including school field trips, reservation group tours, guided public hikes, and special events such as campfire programs. The California Cod~ of Regulations, Title 14, section 630, addresses regulations in ecological reserves and limits bicycle and vehicle use to public access roads and parking areas. Operation outside of these areas is seen as incompatible with the environmental conservation ;" mission of reserves. Conflicts with this regulation arose at Blue Sky Ecological Reserve due to the previous landowner not excluding bicycles from the property and lack of enforcement following the initial purchase. Continued bicycle use in the Reserve led to concerns of negative impacts to natural resouces and to education programs. Subsequent enforcement was met with an outcry from the growing local bicycle community, a petition drive, and lobbying of City and State legislators. This led to an agreement between the City and DFG to establish a bicycle advisory committee and allow a six-month trial period during which bicycles would be allowed on the GVTT and impacts monitored. Concerns of potential impacts are outlined in Table I. No long term environmental monitoring has been done other than non-intensive inventorying of species and habitats, and time was not allotted, nor bicycles effectively excluded, to allow a baseline stu~y to document pre-existing conditions. The advisory committee set regulations for conditional bicycle access during the trial period - to minimize impacts (Table 2). Bicycle access was limited to the Gvrr and campground access road, where most maintenance vehicles traveled and the road was widest, to minimize impacts to wildlife, programs, and trails. A speed limit was set to minimi7.e disturbance to other trail llSers. Speed and trail etiquette regulations were consistant with those of the adjoining City multi-use trails. Bicycles were excluded on Fridays to limit the amount of disturbance to school field trips. They were excluded from Saturday mornings to limit disturbance to the busiest public educational programs, and to provide a control period for wildlife monitoring so that comparisons could be drawn between days with bicycles and days without. Limitations on trail- use hours were pre-existing for aU users to limit disturbance to wildlife. Regulations were posted on 2' x3' signs at each trailhead. Staff of San Diego State University Department of Recreation, Parks, & Tourism were 2 OeT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 .... 42 of 69 - solicited to monitor Gvrr usage and regulations compliance. A voluntary bicycle patrol was established to contact bicyclists and keep anecdotal usage and compliance records. Not assigned to law enforcement nor reguiarly patrolling, staff kept anecdotal records and filed incident reports for violations observed during educational programs and their time in the Reserve. Signs were erected at trailheads and trail junctions, brochures placed at the trailhead kiosk, city and county offices, local bike shops, and distributed by staff and the volunteer bicycle patrol. A , sub-committee was established to design this study to monitor wildlife and to assess bicycle impacts . Methods Wildlife and human activity was documented along the Green Valley Truck Trail during the six-month trial period through weekly paired samples. One sampling was conducted during a period when bicycles were not to be present and a second during a period with bicycles present. Following the trial period, the data for each sampling period were compared to detect if there were any differences in the number of wildlife sightings (wildlife view-ability), wildlife abundance, species diversity, wildlife behavior, or distance from the GVTT relative to the pre~nce or absence of bicycles. Four stations were selected at intervals along the Gvrr adjacent to each habitat type (Figure 1). Each monitoring station was marked by a 4"x4"x3' wooden post set in the ground on the north side of the trail, with the top of the post numbered and painted yellow. Station 1 was located adjacent to oak woodland and sage scrub, with chaparral visible within 100 feet to the east. Station 2 was adjacent to chamise chaparral and oak-riparian woodland, with several sycamores extending above the canopy. Sage scrub slopes were visible to the north. Station 3 was adjacent to oak-willow riparian woodland and sage scrub, with chaparral slopes visible to the south. Station 4 was adjacent to sage scrub and oak-willow-sycamore riparian woodland. One to two monitors spent thirty minutes at each station on two consecutive weekend mornings from approximately 9:00 a.m. to 12:00 noon. Regulations provided experimental control by excluding bicycles on Saturday mornings. This monitoring period was preceded by approximately 36 hours of bicycle exclusion (from sunset Thursday) for wildlife to habituate to 3 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ ,. 43 of 69 --""--. -- fool and occasional equestrian and vehicle traffic. The second sample was taken on Sunday, when bicycles were allowed. Weekends were chosen on the assumption that trail usage would be similar on both days. A simple comparison of the difference of the means between the two sample days for each observer was anticipated 10 yield results of whether impacts from bicycles had occurred or not. Observers documented vertebrate wildlife within view of the station and human activity , passing by the station post during each thirty minute monitoring period. Data were entered on standardized fortnS, and data sets collected are listed in Table 3. All data were collected by volunteers, so identification ability varied. Broad categories and classifications as large-scale as "passerine species" (perching song birds) were accepted to accommodate all levels of ability. All participants were briefed on the methodology, habitats and species anticipated, and shown the area and monitoring station locations. Completed monitoring fortnS were compiled by the study coordinator. Data forms were proof-read and standardized, entered to computer file in Microsoft Excel, proof-read again, then tabulated and analyzed. Standardization of data forms included replacing the monitors' names with nWnerical codes to protect their identities, converting temperature readings to farenheit, and converting all distances to feet. . Standardization of wildlife observation data included deleting observations of invertebrates. To reduce the differences in species identification abilities between monitors, only visual sightings were retained; records relying only on auditory cues were deleted. If observation numbers included a range, the average was taken and rounded to the lower whole number. Species names were standardized to currently accepted full names, for example, flickers were entered as "Northern Flickers", western flycatchers as "Pacific Slope Flycatchers", brown towhees as "California Towhees", etc. Sightings of locally rare or uncommon species that could not be confirmed were lumped into broader categories, for example, Least Bell's Vireos were entered as "vireo species". Sightings for which the monitor only gave a description, but did not identify to species, were entered into the most discernible broad category, such as 'sparrow species', or even "passerine species". Behaviors were standardized from descriptions to one of five broad categories: Foraging, including hunting, stalking, chasing prey. or ingesting; 4 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ t~ 44 of 69 -- Perching/sitting, including any sedentary behavior such as resting, standing, or basking; Singing/reproductive, including any courtship or reproductive activity; Interaction, including"any reaction to or with people or other animals, including territorial activity, but excluding courtship, reproductive, or foraging activity; Transit, including any locomotion such as walking, running, flying, soaring, gliding. or hopping. Results and Discussion Reserve usage. Of the 26 weekends targeted for paired sampling (one day when bicycles were present and one day when absent), 17 were completed, two had only one day completed due to rain the second day, one was rained out, and six were cancelled due to illness and/or inability to ..-.- reschedule (Table 4). There were five monitoring periods with rainfall when data was collected. On three of these days, no bicycles were present; and nine bikes were present during two of theijl. Of the 19 Saturday samples when bicycles were to be excluded, only eight recorded no bicycles during the monitoring period (Figure 2, Table 5). Four or fewer bikes were documented on four Saturdays, and seven Saturdays had from five to sixteen bicycles present during the two-hour monitoring period. Thus, Saturday was invalidated as an experimental control. There was an average of three bicycles per Saturday morning throughout the six-month trial period (sample size of 19 days). There was an average of five bicycles per Saturday morning when bicycles were present (if days without bicycles were excluded, sample size of 11 days). Of the 17 Sunday samples when bicycles were to be present, there was one sample day when no bikes were present, due to heavy rain (Figure 2, Table 5). There were from seven to 31 bicycles present on the remaining Sunday mornings. There was an average of 15 bicycles per Sunday morning throughout the trial period (sample size of 17). There was an average of 16 bicycles per Sunday morning when bicycles were present (if days without bicycles were 5 OeT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ ;104 45 of 69 excluded. sample size of 16 days). Overall, this yields an average of eight bicycles per two-hour monitoring period (sample size 36 days). There was an average of 11 bicycles per morning when bicycles were present (if days without bicycles are excluded, sample size of 27 days). Equestrian numbers ranged from zero to 11, with an average of less than one per monitoring day (Table 5). Eighteen horses were recorded on Saturdays and ten on Sundays. Cars were recorded only three times, heavy vehicles only once, and pickup trucks 22 times (range of zero ,. to four per monitoring period), resulting in an average of fewer than one of each class of vehicles per monitoring period, and an average of fewer than one vehicle total per monitoring period. Twenty vehicles, including the heavy truck, were recorded on Saturdays, and six vehicles were recorded on Sundays. Sample sizes were too small and numbers too few to statistically test for any relationship between vehicles or horses and the wildlife observations. There was an average of 45 walkers recorded each monitoring period, with a range of zero to 133; and an average of three joggers, with a range of zero to 14 (Table 5). There was an average of 52 pedestrians per Saturday and 44 per Sunday. There was no monitoring period with no pedestrians recorded. Data relative to pedestrian usage was inconclusive (Table 6). Species diversity decreased slightly with increasing pedestrian numbers, but both wildlife abundance and number of sightings increased, contrary to what would be expected. One possible explanation is that large groups flushed Animals from cover so that they were more visible, but none of the differences in means were significant. There was an average of four dogs each monitoring period, with a range of zero" to 13 (Table 5). Data relative to the presence of dogs was also inconclusive (Table 7). Though species diversity decreased by 26 percent when dogs were present, this difference did not prove to be statistically significant. Bicycle presence. The percentage differences in species diversity, animal abundance, and number of sightings between each paired sample of Saturday and Sunday are listed in Table 8. There was an average decrease of five percent in species diversity, a decrease of six percent in numbers of sightings, and an increase of one percent in abundance from each Saturday to Sunday." However, none of these values are statistically significant. 6 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 :., 46 Of 69 This is also reflected when comparing overall Saturday and Sunday observations, with the average number of species observed decreasing slightly on Sunday, as did the average number of sightings, but the average number of animals increasing slightly (Figure 3, Table 6). However, if observation RCriods were separated not by day of week, but by presence or absence of bicycles, there were more pronounced percentage differences between the average number of species observed, average number of sightings, and average number of animals. Average '" species diversity decreased by 17 percent, animal abundance by 16 percent, and number of sightings by 21 percent when bicycles were present. This is also reflected if comparisons are made between periods of low bicycle usage (four or fewer bikes, that is, an average of one per station) and high bicycle usage (five or more bikes during the monitoring period). Species diversity decreased 22 percent. statistically significant at a ten percent level and illustrated in Figure 4. Animal abundance decreased by 9 percent and number of sightings by 11 percent during periods of high bicycle usage. This sugests that the presence of bicycles had a negative impact on the presence, abundance, and diversity of vertebrate wildlife viewable from the GVTT. Assessment of observations by station also reflected this trend (Table 10). Though Station 3 showed some inconsistencies, overall averages decreased with the presence of bicycles. . Values recorded on 2/25-2/26 and 4/1-4/2 were significantly lower than others (five percent level of significance)(Table 8). In addition, values recorded on 7/8-7/9 were significantly higher than others. If these samples are excluded from the dataset, little changes in the comparison of Saturday and Sunday observations. However, decreases in diversity, abundance, and the number of sightings are more pronounced and are statistically significant when bicycles are present and during periods of high bicycle usage (Table 11). WiIdife observations. Two amphibian, nine reptile. seven mammal, and 74 bird species were recorded during the monitoring periods (Table 12). A speckled rattlesnake was observed between monitoring stations, tracks of several species of mammals were noted, and auditory and unconfirmed records of several additional bird species were documented. No clear conclusions can be drawn from the behavioral data (Tables 13 & 14). There were 7 OeT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ l"t 47 of 69 - slight increases in foraging, sedentary behavior, and interactions on days of higher bicycle use, but fewer observations of singing or courtship behavior, or transit locomotion. Disturbance may influence cessation of singing, result in ambivalent behavior interpreted as foraging, and cause wildlife to "freeze" or fl~e, the latter possibly not detected due to the amount of vegetative cover. Most direct observations made of changes in behavior as a result of human presence were generalized cessation of calling by treefrogs when vehicles, bicycles, or groups of people passed. In most cases, these were auditory records and thus not included in the final data set since only visual records were relied upon. There were several cases of birds continuing foraging or soaring overhead as hikers, vehicles, or bicycles passed by. There were four incidents observed that documented direct negative impacts from human presence. A California Gnatcatcher adjacent to the GVTT flew away as bicyclists passed (2/4, sta.4). A noisy group of 11 hikers "silenced all birds" (3/4, sta. 1). A cottontail ran across the GVTT, "spooked by two hikers" (4/8, sta. 1). An unleashed dog flushed a covey of quail (4/9, sta. 2). Distance of animals from the GVTT was also inconclusive, with average distances apparently less when bicycles were present (Table 14). Discrepancies in recording distances we~e discovered during data standardization which could not be easily resolved. When wildlife were above the GVTT, some monitors recorded distance from GVTT as "0", others recorded vertical distance above the GVTT, and others included both vertical distance and horizontal distance after it passed from above the GVTT. Study participants. Concern had been voiced by committee members of observer bias of certain participants in the study, particularly Observer #8. Participants included two members of the committee, a biology teacher from Poway High School, a professional biologist, a professional nature photographer, a County Parks Department volunteer naturalist, and four volunteer biologists from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Though there is wide variation among data sets, the percentage differences between days for each category of data are not consistently extreme for any observer. In addition, further reduction of the small sample size could make statistical 8 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ ; .... 48 of 69 - analysis of the data less accurate. Averages resulting from the elimination of the three data sets with high and low extremes in each category were discussed earlier. Those data sets eliminated included that of observer #8. The average number of species observed (species diversity) each sampling period per observer ranged from seven to 34, with an average of 19 (Table 10). Percentage differences between Saturdays and Sundays ranged from zero to 2S, with an average of 10. The average '" number of sightings (view-ability) ranged from 10 to 145, with an average of 45. The percentage differences ranged from three to 22, with an average of 11. The average number of animals (wildlife abundance) ranged from 12 to 21S, with an average of 74. The percentage differences ranged from one to 33, with an average of nine. The average number of bicycles sighted ranged from zero to 20, with an average of eight. The percentage differences ranged from 62 to 100, with an average of 81. Though the numbers of species observed, sightings, and animals reported by Observer #S were above average and at the upper end of the range, the numbers of bicycles recorded on Saturday were below average (though more than the "low" classification of four) and those recorded for Sunday were above average. Therefore, the high wildlife numbers are offset by corresponding high bicycle numbers. The percentage differences between Saturday and Sunday wil~ife data were well within the range of the other participants, and the percentage differences of the number of sightings, animals, and bicycles were well below average. However, the raw numbers of sightings and animals were significantly higher than the remainder of the data set. Likewise, observer #3 had significantly lower numbers of sightings and animals. The resulting averages from elimination of both data sets was discussed earlier. 9 oer 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ " .. 49 of 69 References Gilbert, N. 1981. Statistics. Saunders College Publishing. Krebs, I.R. and N.B. Da,yies. 1982. An Introduction to Behavioural Ecology. Sinauer Associates, Inc. Sokal, R. and F.I. Rohlf. 1981. Biometry. W.H. Freeman and Company. Steel, R.G.D. and I.H. Tome. 1980. Principles and Procedures of Statistics. McGraw-Hill Books. OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ ..... 50 of 69 ,- I --- -. "- I - "' - ...... -"~ - ~ ' =-'...../..-:: I - - I .J . . -. "'. : : ...... ". : . ,: ....... ~: ....... "1 '. .... '.' ......: ~ .'~ ..... . <><: 5 . I<l i . I . "'<:l~ . ~ 5 ~ & -:;<> S ~~! t ~ .b .... 3} ~~1 ~o c 0- IlQ .,.e ~ ~ ~ 6'i ... 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Concerns about impacts from bicycle use of the Green Valley Truck Trail. BLUE SKY ECOLOGIC,tL RESERVE C4lifomJa D('pa"",~nl 01 Filh and GGIM CowIt)' oj SIJIt D;~go Parts DeparTnlenl Ory of Po_ -.:;. Frinwb of Bl.. Sky c.",yon " Concerns ~out Impacts from Bicycle Use of Green Valley Truck Trail (GVTT) 1. Impact to existing interpretive/educational programs a. Disturbance to wildlife by bicyclists, decreasing possibility of wildlife presence near GVTT and sightings by students b. Threat (or perception of threat) to public safety by increased possibility of bicycle-pedestrian near-misses and/or collisions c. Destruction of wildlife sign/interpretive aids (eg/ animal tracks) by bicycle tracks d. Distraction to students/ interruption of program by passing bicyclists 2. Decrease in quality of experience of other trail users due to above impacts, noise, and congestion (or perception of congestion) from increased frequency and abundance of bicyclists. 3 . Impact to wildife habituated to current levels of human use of GVTT a. Disturbance to wildlife by noise and presence of increased frequency, abundance, and speed of trail users b. Disruption of natural routines of wildlife, such as feeding, roosting, moving through reserve, with cumulative impact of weight loss and susceptibility to predators, disease, and temperature extremes c. Increased possibility of "bike kills" in small animal populations 4, Increased possibility of off-trail and off-GVTT bicycle use with impacts to habitats, plants, and wildlife, including sensitive, threatened, and endangered species and habitats a, above impacts (see #3) b, Disruption of natural drainage and exacerbation of erosion, sedimentation, and soil compaction c. Damage and destruction to native plant species with cumulative impacts on local populations d. Habitat fragmentation, disruption, and degradation from increased human presence, plant and soil impacts e. Disturbance and/or destruction of nests and young f. Introduction of non-nativQ invasive plant sceds and incre~scd pOGsibitity of their establishment due to 55 of 69 lJ.d)i t-,\! (11'( I r.c~d,l t i Oil OCT 17 &5 ITEM 4 '.," T~lblc 2. Bicycle regulntions r' -inU trial period. ~ ~ --- " .... .-J ATTENTION MOUNTAIN BIKERS OUR FUTURE ACCESS TO BLUE SKY ECOLOGICAL RESERVE DEPENDS ON OUR RESPONSffiLE BEHA VIOR AND ADHERENCE TO THE FOLLOWING GUIDELINES: - RIDE ON MAIN ROADS ONLY: Green Valley Truck Trail from Espola Rd. to Lake Ramona and Lake Poway access road. Off main road bike use is prohibited. - Speed limit is 10 m.p.h. (5 m.p.h. when passing hikers and -equestrians) . - Yield to hikers and equestrians. - Be alert and courteous. Warn others of your approach. - Reserve is closed to bicycles all day Friday and until noon on Saturday. Bikes allowed all other days sunrise to sunset. Bicycle access has been approved for a six-month trial period from February I to July 31, 1995. BLUE SKY ECOLOGICAL RESERVE Califol"llia Department of Fish and Game Counly of San Die~o Parks Department City of Poway GeT 17 ms ITEM 4. "" 56 of 69 -- -- Table 3. Data categories collected. Observer Date Day of week Time start -- Time end Waather conditions (each recorded for start, middle, end) Cloud cover (heavy, medium, light, clear) , Precipitation (heavy, medium, light, none) Air temperature Reserve usage (each recorded for stations 1, 2, 3, 4, and total) Numbers of: Bicycles Horse and rider Cars and vans Pickup trucks Heavy trucks and tractors Walkers Joggers Dogs Wildlife observations (recorded for each sighting) Station number Species Number of animals Behavior Distanca from GVTT Time OeT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 !Ii lIt1 57 of 69 . . = E" .... ........ ........ ........ . c ...Vl VlVl VlVl VlVl a.W "'W ww Ww Ww e LL.LL.u...LL.LL.LL.u.u.u. u.u..u.LL.LL.LL. u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u.u. ,! 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RCSmVf! usage. - - Blue Sky Ecological Reserve Bike Study Report 9/3195 Reserve Usage Data Date Day of WeelcBlkes Horses Cars Pickups Dogs Joggers Walkers Heavy Trucks 214/95 Saturday 16 1 0 4 3 5 58 0 215/95 Sunday 14 0 0 1 13 5 63 0 2/11/95 Saturday 0 0 0 2 4- 0 62 0 2/12/95 Sunday 24 0 0 0 5 2 35 0 2118/95 Saturday 0 1 0 0 1 2 47 0 2119/95 Sunday 27 0 0 2 13 12 67 0 2125/95 Saturday 5 0 0 0 3 7 26 0 2126/95 Sunday 12 0 0 0 1 5 26 0 3/4/95 Saturday 0 0 2 1 4 2 92 0 3/18/95 Saturday 1 0 0 0 5 0 42 0 3/19/95 Sunday 22 0 0 0 4 2 33 0 4/1/95 Saturday 0 0 0 0 2 2 133 0 4/2/95 Sunday 11 2 0 0 7 3 47 0 4/8/95 Saturday 1 0 0 1 2 5 44 0 4/9/95 Sunday 18 2 0 0 6 0 26 0 4/15/95 Saturday 2 0 0 0 4 4 41 0 4/16/95 Sunday 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4/29/95 Saturday 5 0 0 1 5 6 44 0 5/6/95 Saturday 0 0 0 0 1 1 7 0 5/7/95 Sunday 9 0 0 0 6 14 34 0 5/13/95 Saturday 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 0 . 5/14/95 Sunday 7 0 0 0 2 1 37 0 6/3/95 Saturday 0 0 1 1 7 3 63 0 6/4/95 Sunday 31 0 0 1 11 6 49 0 6/17/95 Saturday 8 0 0 0 5 2 45 0 6/18/95 Sunday 25 0 0 0 11 6 69 0 6/24/95 Saturday 7 5 0 0 3 2 43 0 6/25/95 Sunday 9 1 0 0 4 3 43 0 7/1/95 Saturday 0 0 0 1 4 3 43 0 7/2/95 Sunday 12 5 0 0 6 7 33 0 7/8/95 Saturday 5 0 0 2 1 0 23 1 7/9/95 Sunday 17 0 0 1 5 3 54 0 7/15/95 Saturday 4 11 0 1 1 4 82 0 7/16/95 Sunday 9 0 0 0 6 5 18 0 7/22195 Saturday 6 0 0 1 9 4 52 0 7/23/95 Sunday 9 0 0 1 7 7 38 0 Total 316 28 3 22 171 133 1628 1 - OeT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ '.:t. 59 of 69 P~qC 1 -' Tabla 6. Avarages of observations by day and usage - pedestrian. Av. Specie. Av. No. Av. No. Dav of Week Observed Observations Animals Saturday 20 46 73 Sundav 18 44 74 Percent Chanoe 11 - 4.5 -1.3 Pedestrian Usaoe Low 19 42 68 Hiah 18 45 76 Percent Chanae .9 8 10 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ . , t-' 60 of 69 o~ 0_ -N ~C:lt)l() It)1.() C'"')l.() ~ 0 co- ,,- C!! .. > - .. cnO o ~~~ ~~~ ffi~~ U') U') ~ '- M N eX) .. '. .Q ~ CD 0 E en I ..... ..... - " ::0 .. z E .." "'< l! .. > < NN NN ON m~m~Nv ~CMM MM NM .................... M ~ 0 ..- ,,- C!! .. > - .. "' cnO Ol CO ~v~ ~V~ mlt)o m ~ vvo- vvo vv~ ~ I 0 t.t) N en -- ... t.t) CO c:c CV --- men. . . "'t: 0(0 .cae v co ex) __ .. E 0 c a:o - - Gl ~ - ~- 0" ~Gl ~ , .. ..Gl~ ua:U')", z~ i1iGl~Gl "t:n>.cn 6 G) G>> .. m~Q. Sl .!20'gM=~.! i;'>.>>I en ~ll.~ -(j)cu...o "'Cm-~o U (I) c= a. ... 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Z~a. Z <( ~ Cl> :a III I- OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 .~ 63 of 69 ~~~~~c.e~~~~~~N~~ - am,..... to M o 0 ,..... to 0 ~ ~ ~ ~ ID ~ 0 - ..-...... "l;f ...... .0 , E.!I! " co Z,E .. c g>< ~ .. > < ~;:;;.e:!::~~;::~~O)~~::~ ,..... ,..... m ~ ~ N NO,..... N - . . . . . o ,..... ,..... m ,..... ,..... N N I ,..... N ~ .. .. c .Q 0 E- ,,- z ~ .. .. 00.. I!.Q >- .,0 cu > o < ., l: C; .12 ., - Ul .l!! .,'1:: (J) ..O),.....~om~coco~..-.......:::emco~ - 8. 0..- 0 0...... 0 0 ..... >- ~ ...... ...... 0 "'It' 0 ma.> CO u "'1 ...... ~ -: ~ uC:::lt)U) G>> co ...... 0 ....... N 'c>>>.mC: Q. N...... U')..- o ~ - 0 (I) 8.2ai:; '0 w (J) C; .. >.j ~ .8 t5 ffi 8 E " '" ., Z .2 OJ OJ I! .. ., 00 < ~ > < .; - c c o l>> CD Q,) Q) Q) CD "4::j tit en en en en 0) ca ! c c: c: c: c: t; a.. ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ]; ill II II II II II ~ - - - - - en _ c: c: c: c c: c OJ ., ., 2l ., ., o cnf=: cn~ (1),,- U)~ U)~ -,;: OQ)Q)OCUCUOQ)Q)OQ)Q)omQ) ~ z>~z>~z>~z>~z>~ ~ .. Ul .0 o ~ ~ ~ C .Q en ~...... N M ~ m .. - - en .:! en ~ 00 ~ .. > < ci - .. :c co I- OeT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 .,,, 64 of 69 Table 11. Modified averages of observations. A v. Species Av. No. Av. No. Dav of Week Observed StDev Observations StDev Animals SIDev Saturday 20 7 46 32 73 50 Sunday lii 1 44 32 II .2.l Percent Chanae 11. 4.5 -1.3 Bike Useae Low 22 5,6 82 37.4 52 22.28 Hiah 1.I 4.6 63 33.8 .ll 18.2 Percent Chanae 22 II II Bikas Present No 23 6 90 40 57 23 Yes II ~ ~ ~ ~ II Percent Chanae 20 28 II ,- - DCTl'l1995 . ......~. .. 65 of 69 ---.---- Table 12. Species observed. California Treefrog Pacific Treefrog Treefrog species Alligator Lizard California Kingsnake Gopher Snake Granite Spiny Lizard Lizard species Orange-throated Whiptail Side-blotched Lizard Skink species Western Fence Lizard Whiptail species Audubon's Cottontail California Groundsquirrel Cottontail species Coyote Mule Deer Valley Pocket Gopher Woodrat species Acorn Woodpecker American Crow American Goldfinch American Kestrel Anna's Hummingbird Ash-throated Flycatcher Bewick's Wren Black Phoebe Black-chinned Hummingbird Biack-headed Grosbeak Blue-grey Gnatcatcher Brewer's Blackbird California Gnatcatcher California Quail California Thrasher California Towhee Cassin's Kingbird Cliff Swallow Common Bushtit Common Raven Common Yellowthroat Cooper's Hawk Costa's Hummingbird Dark-eyed Junco Downy Woodpecker Flycatcher species Gadwall Gnatcatcher species Goldfinch species Great Egret Greater Roadrunner Hawk species Hooded Oriole House Finch House Wren Hummingbird species Hutton's Vireo Lazuli Bunting Lesser Goldfinch Loggerhead Shrike Mallard Mourning Dove Northern Flicker Northern Mockingbird Nuttall's Woodpecker Ora.nge-crowned Warbler Osprey Pacific Slope Flycatcher Passerine species Phainopepla Plain Titmouse Purple Finch Red-naped Sapsucker Red-shouldered Hawk Red-tailed Hawk Rock Wren Rough-winged Swallow Ruby-crowned Kinglet Rufous-crowned Sparrow Rufous-sided Towhee Say's Phoebe Scrub Jay Sharp-shinned Hawk Song Sparrow Sparrow species Starling Swallow species Swift species Towhee species Turkey Vulture Violet-green Swallow Vireo species Warbler species Warbling Vireo Western Bluebird Western Kingbird White-crowned Sparrow White-tailed Kite White-throated Swift Wilson's Warbler Woodpecker species Wren species Wrentit Yellow Warbler Yellow-breasted Chat Yellow-rumped Warbler OeT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ ' .- 66 of 69 _._- _~~~G~~_~CQ~M~G~~~C~~~~QG~~~G~~OG~~C ""'" N_GC__ _N NN~N_NN__N~~N__~~~~~NN_ e - '" e "0( c . ~.c " ....- 0 ;: . NOOOGG_NO~CQONN_~~~~~M~__NONG~~~~NO'N - ';~ _ _ NM NM ~G ~~~~ .c ,l! c g '0 Q~ . .5 " '" . .... " .. - N.~~GCMO_O.NOOMM~OGMo~_~m~~.O.~M~N~. .. _ _ _ _N_N__ N_ N __ _ ~~ _ . .5 c ;; .c - E u '" C ;ii5 0( .. -.. __~OOOO~ONOOO_GNOO~~NO-~NOOON~M.ONNN ~ C (;...!! N _ .! ~.c _ . II ~i~!5i zc .. G~.NGO.__~MOM_~~_NM_~~~~G_~MG~~OGC~O .5 _N N_ N _N_N M_N NM.N__N ~ l! ~ ~ 0 .. .. ~ ~~~i~$~~~~~2~~~~~g~~~~8~~g~~~~~~~~m~ ; " _ c "8. . .0,2 M_ ___MM__ N.N. N___ -.. a ...- ~a:",~ l! U - . c ~ ~Hll > ~ . o(J!.l! 8", 8 00 w. ~:tS ~ :~8~~;~~~~~~~~~~~~~g~~~~~~~:~~~~ia~; ",Ill .. .. E '0.." - - - - __NN ~ ~ iii "- . .l! - ~ '" E . E -= .. :i<8 .~~~~~~~~~~~o~~~~~re~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ _ c - - o 0 ji E ~ ~ . z.l! 0 ~~ON~~O~OG~~mN_OMO._~M~._GN_m~.Gcm~o 'O..~ __NN__ N__ NNMMNNN__NNN___NNMN____ " . . .l!;:;~ -0 e !.: " ~",'" > z 0 ;; VI .c o~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 0 . .~..~.~.~..~.~.~.~~II~II~II~~~.~II~II~II~II~ ~. ~1I1.~.~II~~.~II~II~II~~.~.E.~II~.~II~~~.~1I .... sit ~~-~=~=~-=l=~=~=~=2~=~=~~~=~~~~ =~=~ 0 II II ~ II ~ II ~ II. II ~.. .. ~ II II ~ II ~ II II ~ II ~.. II ~ II ~ II ~ 'S: ~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~oo~~~~~~~~~OO000 co ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ .<:; .~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ co .c ~NN~~~~~~~~~....;5~ ~~~o~iSS~~~~~~~~ iij E 'c <( .~.- M ~ " :0 co I- OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 '" 67 of 69 -- , Table 14. Averages of observations of animal behavior and distance. F ,. foraging, I ,. interaction with other animal or people, P ,. perched or sedentary, S ,. singing or courtship, T ,. transit locomotion, Distance z average distance in feet from the Green Valley Truck Trail. Average Number of Animals Disolavino Behavior Dav of Week L ...!.. L ...L .L Distance Saturday 13 2 13 16 28 135 Sunday 15 3 14 19 27 160 Bike Usaoe Low 13 1 11 21 31 156 High 15 4 15 15 25 140 Bikes Present No 13 2 10 26 31 177 Yes 15 3 14 14 26 134 OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 1+ ., 68 of 69 . N~Oao_Nq)tnOONIt'lNa'lOO ... N_ MN "0 C - 0 -.. "0 _ C .- J! ~ "'0 ~.nf"oo""Na;)MOCO""NM,...tOlI)tQ . '0 III """f"oo__~""O'Io)NNMM"'''' __ NN en.... ~ 11 e ~ E '2 <;i.c( _NN_N_NNQOCO.....-Oo - -- "0 C - 0 -", "0 _ c- J! ~ ",0 " U':l1t'l,....nQNf"oo_f"ooO'lCD..,.O)tOIt)O _ C ..,.MMM__NNl,OtQ""f"ooNN:::: . 0 0 CD"':; e " - " .c ~ > e " "'''.ll Zo N__NN_NMOONNN-OO ... e - 0 -", ... - e- II ~ >- "'0 - " e ~~~~r---r---~~~~~~::~(lI;~ " i: '8 . " ... " ::.2 ~ "i U " - _ u " '" " " " " ~" ~ > Q..c ~- . 0: '" : "''''0 fj~8 " .n_MO'IMN..,.CQNOO,.....ao"'r-- w'" ili " N _ - - - - ...... Eli ~ - " III ~ " " !l ! ll'.ll a; " ~o " .c '" 0 CD_MI,OI()MN_NOON,...COIt)"'" "... _.._,... N_M '" - - " " > :! ~ co III " "0 - " ll.c "0 {!.O C co ~ " ~~~~~~~Ng~~~N~~~ " .h > ~ 8.~ " ., '" " .J::. -.ll 0 ~o > .... .c ., N....NNMN__M""NN__ C .2 0; > OJ ., .c 0 - 0 ., >- >- >- >- >- >- >0 " ,.,co>oftl>oftl>-ftI>oftl>oco>-ftI>o Ol ~~~~co~~~~~~ co _ _~_c_e-3 OJ ~ ftI ~ ftI ftI ~ co ~ ftI (f)(f)(f)(I)(/)(f)(f.l(f.l(/)(/)(/) > <l: - " -oj i: .__NN(""JM....,.~lt)tQtOr---r---lI)lI) " " .c :0 0 co .... OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 " 69 of 69 DISTRIBUTEt /tl-/3-YS J DATE: OCTOBER 10, 1995 ~~ LcLv.i./.......L- /[,-/[-9.5.- TO: POW A Y CITY COUNCIL I DFG FROM: TERRY CALLAN I K,C. BUTLER (BLUE SKY BIKE PATROL) RE: BLUE SKY BIKE COMMlTl'bE MINORITY REPORT As members of the Blue Sky Bike Advisory Committee and the Blue Sky Bike Patrol, we would like to summarize our viewpoint, representing the City of Poway bike community. The purpose of the six month trial period for bikes was "to determine if bicycle access into BSER can be accommodated without detriment to the ecological values of the reserve and it's pedestrian visitors". "At the conclusion of the six month trial period, the City and the State shall make a detennination, based on protection of the area's resources and safety. as to future bicycle access at BSER and enter into a new agreement, if deemed appropriate." (REF. Cooperative Agreement Stipulation #1 & 13). Was it appropriate for the Bike Advisory Committee to recommend that bike access be prohibited in BSER? Was it ever possible to have a favorable vote for bikes from this committee? The answer to both questions is no. Due to the make up of the (12) member committee that included (5) friends of Blue Sky and (2) DFG employees, the vote of that committee was assured before the trial began, We the Poway bike community are asking for support from the City of Poway and Department of Fish and Game to resume bike access in the Reserve based upon a reasonable review of the real issues. lSSUE #l--PROTECTION OF BSER, RESOUlll:ES ' The assumption that bikes have caused more damage than bikers, equestrians, dogs and vehicles is unscientific and untrue. Both the SDSU User Observation Study and the Bike Patrol report showed only 1.7% of bikes off trail. This violation is our biggest concern and we feel improvement is possible with further education and enforcement. The Wildlife Monitoring Study unsuccessfully attempted to prove bikes had a negative impact on animals. In reality, the average number of animals increased on Sunday when bikes were present. It doesn't take a scientist to know that bikes cannot be more detrimental to animals than large groups of hikers, dogs (especially those off leash), and vehicle traffic, The real conclusion on resource impact is that bikes caused no significant damage. We witnessed more environmental damage from winter flooding and illegal vehicles than bikes could ever cause. OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 I' , . ---....-.- - I ISSUE #2--SAEEIY The User Study indicated that 50% off all bike violations were due to speeding (in excess of lOmph). Unfortunately, a radar gun was never used, making this data suspect due to subjective guesstimates by the student observers, The Bike Patrol observed less than half as many speed violations. Nonetheless, the purpose of a speed limit is to minimize the risk of accidents, The true measure of safety, then, is how many pedestrians were injured by bikers, During the (6) month trial, there were no incidents recorded. In fact, during the (3) years we have studied bikes at BSER, we have never had a documented incident. The real conclusion on safetv is that bikes have been no problem in BSER. In 295 hours of observation, SDSU students did not record any significant multiple user conflicts, In 200 hours of bike patrol, no conflicts were recorded, Based on the data, how can the majority of the committee conclude "that bicyclists could not be compatible with other users of the reserve"? Very simply, the majority of the committee (ie, the docents, county and DFG members) have the mistaken belief that their way of experiencing the reserve is more pure than others, This "majority" really represents a minority of the Poway trial community, who successfully co-exist on all other trails in the city. The misguided attitude of those users who don't want bikes on "their trails" has no place on public lands, The same group that is so concerned about bike impact on the reserve environment is responsible for attracting 30,000 visitors per year to BSER by advertising throughout San Diego county, What's wrong with this picture? In summary, it is our hope that reason and not emotion will prevail on the decision for bike access in BSER. Pressure to close the reserve to bikes comes from a small minority of trail users. The majority of signatures on our bike petition last year came from, not bikers, but hikers who recognized the right of all low impact users to visit BSER, How would hikers feel if they were singled out from other users and banned from BSER? Would they respect and obey the ban? Banning bikes will not stop bike use in the reserve, especially by those who violated rules during the trial. BSER is the critical link between the best mountain biking in the city from Lake Poway to Lake Ramona, Blue Sky provides the only access to the city's future trail between Lake Poway and Old Coach, DeT 17 1995 ITEM 4 . I I ,-.- We challenge the City, County, and State to help reduce trail user conflicts by being creative in adapting to the publics' biking needs and not by excluding its use. This philosophy has worked successfully throughout the Poway trail system. Please help to keep BSER a part of that multiple user system! Dist: Don Higginson City of Po way - Mayor Susan Callery City of Poway - Deputy Mayor Bob Emery City of Poway - Council Member Betty Rexford City of Poway - Council Member Mickey Cafagna City of Poway - Council Member Bob Thomas City of Poway - Dir. of Comm. Servo Jim Bowersox City of Po way - City Manager Dan Cannnon City of Poway - Public Service John Anderson DFG Jan Goldsmith State of California Assemblyman Anachment February-July Bike Patrol report OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 ' I ~ . . - I, . 7/24/95 TO: BSR BIKE ADVISORY COMMITTEE FR: T. CALLAN +0<:- RE: FEB-JUL (6 MOS) BIKE PATROL REPORT YSER SURVEY DATA: DAYTIME SHIF[ HIKER lllKER.. EQ1J.ESI IQIAL SAT 12-4 17 762 185 18 965 SUN 8-12 17 1101 228 23 1352 SUN 12-4 12 855 179 11 1045 TOTAL # 46 2718 592 52 3362 TOTAL% 81 18 1 100 , . A VE/4 H.R. 59 13 1 73 YIOLATIONS OBSERVED: BIKE OFF TRIAL 9 BIKE SPEED 29 DOG LEASH 37 PLANT GATHER 5 HUNT IFISH 4 COMMErsr.rS: 1. (38) BIKE VIOLATIONS VS. (46) HIKER VIOLATIONS, OBSERVED, 2. BIKE ACTIVITY PEAKED IN FEB AND DECLINED STEADILY THRU TRIAL PERIOD FROM (19) TO (9) PER 4 HR SHIFT. 3. PERCENTAGE OF HIKER, BIKER & EQUESTRIAN REMAINED CONSTANT THRU TRIAL. OCT 1 7 1995 ITEM 4 ' ' - - David B. Stanton 9926 Backer Court San Diego, CA 92126 17 October 1995 Members of the Poway City Council: I have been a docent at Blue Sky Ecological Reserve for nearly three years and Treasurer of Friends of Blue Sky Canyon for just over two years. While I did not actively participate in the six month bicycle study, I assisted Robert Patton with the analysis of the wildlife data and attended some of the Bicycle Advisory Committee meetings. Therefore, I have an understanding of that data and would like to take this opportunity to discuss the findings of the User Observation Study and the Wildlife Study, both of which were conducted in the Reserve from February through July of this year, and to refute the claims made by Terry Callan and K. C. Butler in their Blue Sky Bike Committee Minority Report. The Blue Sky Bike Committee Minority Report charges that, due to the makeup of the Bicycle Advisory Committee, the deck was stacked against them from the very beginning. While the committee may have consisted of twelve members, there were only seven voting members. Of these seven, only two, including Terry Callan, are actually members of Friends of Blue Sky Canyon. Friends supported Al Torretto's participation in the study, but was not actively involved in the study or the committee. If Mr. Callan and Mr. Butler truly believed that the committee was biased against them, why didn't they raise their objections when the committee was formed? Why did they even agree to participate in the study? Why did they agree to be bound by it? It is easy to raise charges of impropriety when the vote, and the results of the study, go against you. The Minority Report discusses three issues, the first of which is protection of BSER resources. Both the User Observation Study and the Wildlife Study concluded that bicycles were detrimental to the Reserve. The Minority Report claims that the User Observation Study findings were unscientific and untrue. While tlle bicyclists claim that other user groups caused more danmge than bikes, the Bike Patrol did not docwnent a single instance of damage to the Reserve by vehicles or equestrians and only a 0.3% incident rate of possible damage by hikers, compared to their reported 1.7% of bicycles off trail. They also claim that the Wildlife Study unsuccessfully attempted to prove that bikes had a negative impact on wildlife, and they site an increase in the number of animals present on Sundays. It is true that the Wildlife Study reported a I % increase in the number of animals observed on Sunday morning. What they fail to admit is that three counts were taken. The number of species observed was used to document wildlife diversity, the number of individual observations was used to document the frequency of observations, and the number of animals observed was used to document population density. While the total number of animals observed did show a slight increase on Sunday mornings, the number of species observed declined by II % and the total number of observations declined by 5%. We also exanlined days when there were no bikes present in the Reserve and days when there was low bike usage, defined as five or fewer bikes. In these studies, the total number of animals observed, number of observations, and number of species observed showed declines of 8% to 22%. The Minority Report next discusses the issue of safety. A claim is made that the User Observation Study indicated that 50% of all bike violations were due to speeding. In reality, this study documents that 26% of the total bike violations were safety related. This percentage includes both speeding and failure to yield. I can find no data in the User Observation Study to support the 50% claim. Data collected by the Bike Patrol shows that 29 of the 38 bicycle related violations, or 76%, were for speeding. While they challenge the accuracy of our studies, they completely ignore the fact that their own data paints an even more damaging picture. They further claim that, since no pedestrians have been injured by bikes in the past six months, that bikes must be operating safely. They fail to recognize the fact that many people, myself included, have reported near collisions on several occasions. Some time ago, an elderly woman was struck on the arm by a speeding bike. Clearly, speeding and failure to yield are unsafe behaviors. Just because an accident has not yet occurred does not IC-11-"j"i :a:<-j - - mean that one never will. The bicyclists also claim that they have been studying this issue for three years, but the Bike Patrol was only in operation during the six month study period. How, exactly, did they collect three years worth of data and where is this data? The third issue raised by the bicyclists is user conflicts. While the data collected during the study may not document any serious user conflicts, the anecdotal data documents several incidents which were reported by docents and the public. I have had bicyclists close to within a few feet of me before making their presence known, and I have observed and been involved in near collisions. User conflicts have been reported in the anecdotal data, and this data must be studied to get a full picture of the situation. The Minority Report closes with the argument that banning bikes in the Reserve will not stop bike use in the Reserve. Following this line of reasoning, we should stop imprisoning murderers, because murders continue to occur in our society. The bicyclists accuse us of being emotional and unscientific, but their Minority Report is full of accusations, innuendo, and unsupported facts. The purpose of these studies was to detennine if bicycle users should be allowed to use Blue Sky Ecological Reserve. The user observation study was intended to detennine if bicycles and pedestrians could successfully share the trails and if bicyclists could obey the rules. The user observations clearly show that 21.2% of the users in the reserve (the bicyclists) committed 73.3% of the violations. The most serious of the violations from a public safety point of view, speeding and failure to yield, accounted for 26% of the total violations. Nearly 20% of the violations involved bikes present in the Reserve during restricted hours. Since one possible outcome of this study is that bicycles could be allowed restricted access to the Reserve, it is relevant to look at their adherence to this rule during the study period. Today, with the reserve closed to bikes, there continues to be documented bicycle use in the reserve. Can bicyclists follow the rules? Clearly, they cannot. Does their failure to adhere to the rules threaten public safety? I believe that it does. The intent of the Wildlife Study was to document animal populations in the Reserve on Saturday mornings and Sunday mornings. Had there been no bicycle use in the reserve on Saturdays, then a straight forward comparison between Saturday and Sunday would have been possible. Since bicyclists did not obey the rules, our use of Saturday as a control day was invalidated. Robert Patton, A1 Torretto and I discussed the results and we all agreed that the only available alternative was to look at non-bike verses bike days. Since there were so few days with no bikes present, we also looked at low bike usage days verses high bike usage days. The data we collected clear shows a decline in species diversity, and number of animals observed. The bicyclists ask that you use reason, not emotion, to arrive at your conclusion. I urge you to do the same. Look at the data collected in both studies and at the anecdotal data. The data is clear. The bicyclists have failed to demonstrate that they can abide by the rules and share the trails with other users of the Reserve. Thank you for taking the time to consider my opinion. Sincerely, 0~(V~--= David B. Stanton Anna Gateley-Stanton, PLS, CCLS 9926 Backer Court San Diego, CA 92126 Telephone: (619) 232-2155 Fax: (619) 239-2155 October 17, 1995 Members of the Poway City Council poway, California Dear Mayor and Council Members: I have been a docent at Blue Sky Ecological Reserve since February 1993 and have been the secretary for Friends of Blue Sky Canyon for a little over two years. As a volunteer for both the Reserve and Friends, I have spent more hours than you can imagine promoting the Reserve, its programs, and everything it has to offer, both tangible and nontangible. Like many others, I have come to love Blue Sky and consider it a kind of retreat from the pressures of everyday life. As one of the original docents, I have seen many people come to the canyon for the first time, not knowing what to expect. After only an hour and a half, they leave with a greater appreciation for nature-- they understand "the big picture." Children of all ages enjoy watching the many animals found in the Reserve. Whether catching a glimpse of a deer or watching the littlest "stink bug" crossing the Green Valley Truck Trail, everything is new and exciting when you are able to experience it in its native habitat and learn a little more about the animal. Unfortunately, many visitors, myself included, find it frustrating to see mountain bike riders come speeding around turns and weaving their way through groups, expecting those on foot to "get out of the way," which is what we have been told by many riders. On one special hike this summer, a group of 25 to 30 people were observing a rattlesnake track during a tracking hike on Saturday afternoon when a woman on a bike came speeding around a corner, only to be forced to come to a skidding halt to avoid colliding with those on foot. This is only one instance that comes to mind of the many safety violations that occurred in the Reserve. It is also very upsetting to see first hand the damage done to plant life when the bikes come down off the hillside, ignoring the rules requiring them to stay only on the Green Valley Truck Trail and the road to poway Lake. They also ignore the signs and ride down on the streamside trail, the Ramona Water District pipeline road, and on any trail they find, not to mention making their own trails. ltl-n-'i<:) ~Lf Members of the Poway City Council October 17, 1995 Page 2 As I understand it, the 6-month bicycle study was originally recommended to DFG by Friends of Blue Sky in October/November of 1993, but DFG was not interested at the time. Later, after the City became involved, a study was again brought up, and this time the recommendation was acted upon. The study, I am told, was to determine the effect of bicycles on the wildlife and to see if bicyclists can obey the rules and regulations imposed upon them if they are allowed to ride in the Reserve. After reviewing the voluminous information presented to you in study materials, I am sure you will see that the presence of bicycles does in fact impact the wildlife. Unfortunately, due to illegal bicycle usage on Saturdays, the wildlife study control data set was even smaller than everyone would have liked. Those analyzing the data and preparing the report, graphs, etc. were forced to look at three different sets--Saturday v. Sunday, days of hike bike usage v. days with low bike usage, and days with bikes v. days with no bikes (which were very few due to the illegal Saturday usage). Also, from the data collected during the study performed by SDSU students (an impartial third party), it is glaringly apparent that bicyclists cannot and do not follow the rules and regulations. As shown in the study, the bicyclists made up about 20 percent of the users observed. At the same time, that small, 20 percent group of users committed over 70 percent of the total violations recorded by these impartial observers. It is obvious that no matter how the bicycle contingent tries to divert your attention by stating the study was unfair and biased, they proved beyond a doubt that they cannot and will not follow the rules if allowed to ride in Blue Sky. I know you will give this matter much thought and review all of the information and testimony presented to you before making a decision. I am hopeful that you will make an informed decision and not one based on who yells the loudest or threatens political pressure, because as is usually the case, it is the upset minority group (approximately 20 percent of the users) and not the majority group (the remaining 80 percent of the users) making most of the noise. Thank you for taking the time to read my comments. Sincerely, ~f-d~-~ Anna Gateley-Stanton ags -